<oembed><type>rich</type><version>1.0</version><title>Federico Rivi wrote</title><author_name>Federico Rivi (npub1rd…0r3ys)</author_name><author_url>https://nostr.now/npub1rd0wwn037yltsh256d4urxjpsr6ye6dva6azaggsl848nwc64ehq60r3ys</author_url><provider_name>njump</provider_name><provider_url>https://nostr.now</provider_url><html>On May 6, 2025, during the Q1 earnings conference call, Michael Saylor said: &#34;We will probably sell some bitcoin to pay a dividend.&#34; MSTR dropped more than 4% in the hours that followed.&#xA;&#xA;Strategy holds 818,334 BTC. Annual obligations between dividends on preferred shares and interest on debt amount to roughly $1.5 billion. The software business generates a handful of millions per quarter. The gap is covered by issuing new shares at a premium to NAV, or - for the first time ever - by selling bitcoin.&#xA;Adam Back, a few days before the call, had tweeted that &#34;bitcoin treasury companies are an arbitrage between the fiat present and the hyperbitcoinized future.&#34; &#xA;&#xA;In finance, an arbitrage is a risk-free, non-directional trade that exploits price differences for the same asset across different markets. What Strategy is doing is a debt-financed leveraged bet on bitcoin — not arbitrage.&#xA;&#xA;The &#34;BTC per share&#34; mechanism Saylor publishes every quarter works like this: new shareholders pay a premium above the value of the underlying bitcoin. That premium gets redistributed to existing shareholders as &#34;growth.&#34; The returns of the old come from the capital of the new.&#xA;&#xA;It all works as long as the line keeps growing. The day it stops, Houston, we&#39;ll have a problem.&#xA;nostr:naddr1qqsxvetjd4shgcfdxgunsttfdskkxctnw3jkcmr094jxjttrv9e8gegprpmhxue69uhkummn9ekx7mp0daekxctj944xzer9qgspkhh8fhclz04ct42dx67pnfqcpazvaxkwaw3w5yg0n6nehvd2umsrqsqqqa28lulqlw</html></oembed>