Nostr notes by umni

Verified bad take... Typically opportunity scales* with ...

2026-10-27T14:32:51Z

In reply to nevent1q…vtj3
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Verified bad take...

Typically opportunity scales* with difficulty. He believes the opposite.

To various degrees never a linear relationship.*

Before reading, account over focuses on his physical appearance, ...

2026-10-27T14:26:58Z

In reply to nevent1q…xvnh
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Before reading, account over focuses on his physical appearance, already off to a bad start to bad take.

Number go up value go down.

2026-10-27T11:46:46Z

In reply to nevent1q…ucqr
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Number go up value go down.

Kyc... How long until they get accused of being an money ...

2026-10-25T11:07:43Z

In reply to nevent1q…4a5z
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Kyc... How long until they get accused of being an money laundering platform?

Just curious if they're could be interoperability between ...

2026-10-25T10:49:34Z

In reply to nevent1q…jcav
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Just curious if they're could be interoperability between various versions particularly if they are more privacy friendly.

#nevent1q…zg9d

2026-10-25T10:32:29Z

In reply to nevent1q…sy23
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quoting nevent1q…zg9d
Has anyone attempted to build a foss version of bitchat? Without the google dependencies?

#asknostr #bitchat

#nevent1q…d44q

2026-10-25T10:28:39Z

In reply to nevent1q…jpua
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quoting nevent1q…d44q
French repeating the mistakes from their past?... There were no winners of the french revolution.

You cannot create change through destruction, this only refines the problem and allows it to rebuild stronger.

The only way to permanently fix a problem is to make it obsolete.

When the cost of aggression becomes low we must lower the cost of self defense.

Has anyone attempted to build a foss version of bitchat? Without ...

2026-10-24T23:34:42Z

Has anyone attempted to build a foss version of bitchat? Without the google dependencies?

#asknostr #bitchat

This explains why btc frame has been blocking tor connections for ...

2026-10-24T23:26:33Z

In reply to nevent1q…e3nw
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This explains why btc frame has been blocking tor connections for over a year now without any response when asked why.

French repeating the mistakes from their past?... There were no ...

2026-10-24T23:19:42Z

In reply to nevent1q…983c
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French repeating the mistakes from their past?... There were no winners of the french revolution.

You cannot create change through destruction, this only refines the problem and allows it to rebuild stronger.

The only way to permanently fix a problem is to make it obsolete.

When the cost of aggression becomes low we must lower the cost of self defense.

Who would benefit from creating an image of a aggressive right, ...

2026-10-24T23:10:16Z

In reply to nevent1q…j4l0
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Who would benefit from creating an image of a aggressive right, narrative?

Do banks today hold any value other than symbolic?

2026-10-22T13:00:02Z

In reply to nevent1q…xcsm
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Do banks today hold any value other than symbolic?

Missing the point (value is subjective) also in a world where ...

2026-10-22T12:55:01Z

In reply to nevent1q…kauv
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Missing the point (value is subjective) also in a world where everything can be done by machines the value of Human time he comes elevated, the interactions between people become more valuable for some companies this may be a status symbol to hire real human.

But for the most part they will simply unlock more things to do as we free ourselves from the trivial tasks and find new subjective value in previously unexplored or out of reach fields.

Machines are tools to satisfy human want not the other way around so machine can never truly know how to react or what to do it's basically a distillation of the centralized planning problem.

#nevent1q…v7ue

2026-10-22T00:52:44Z

In reply to nevent1q…z96c
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quoting nevent1q…v7ue
All governments are religions and all religions are governments. Perpetuated by increasingly consuming it's host, your agency. Civilization emerges from high agency individuals interacting..... government/religion inevitably destroys civilization.

They spread virally and fill parasitic hopefully passing niche that will fade and to history.

You do not need coercion, threat of violence or even a moral instruction manual to do good, you know what is right from childhood. The optimal state individual human prosperity is cooperation.

"But this is the price we pay"... Civilization emerges from the use of money despite the parasitic nature of governance structures.

We can not respect our ancestors by their mistakes but building on their success.

What movie?

2026-10-21T00:40:13Z

In reply to nevent1q…3dqs
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What movie?

The base price real estate follows the money supply, plus any ...

2026-10-20T11:17:28Z

In reply to nevent1q…3ne6
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The base price real estate follows the money supply, plus any additional monetization with a 18 to 24 month lag. So

2019 (low) ... $14.47 T
2026 .............. $23.34 T +61%

$225,000 = $362,250...

The $62,000 over value could be a mix of over paying initially, trying two front run aggressive market(greed) or monetization.

#nevent1q…zpwl

2026-10-19T20:17:03Z

In reply to nevent1q…6gqy
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quoting nevent1q…zpwl
Ideas

The criteria for life typically include these characteristics, metabolism (energy processing), growth and development, reproduction, response to stimuli, and homeostasis - internal rhythm (maintaining internal balance). These traits help distinguish living organisms from non-living things.

Is bitcoin alive?

Would you recognize the ai singularity if it appeared? Or could it look like something you weren't expecting?

Many believe that it's possible for technology to surpass collective human intelligence because of this they assume the singularity will rapidly advance moving beyond our comprehension.

If bitcoin is the sentient singularity, we can make some interesting observations going forward. For example:

1. Its choosing to hijack global human compute. Instead of advancing on its own. Using the most efficient rails possible, price signals(our emergent layer for signaling value). This gives some evidence to support the impossibility of technology surpassing us and shows as of now humanity is the most powerful problem solving network. Otherwise it would have emerged on/in a new or different network.

2. It's need to metabolize will eventually move into space, as it hunts for lowest cost energy. Further decentralizing the network taking us with along. This affect is already happening in remote regions of the world allowing for viable human settlement.

3. It grows, develops and reproduces. Btc remakes the world more hospitable for itself. Through cultivating its ideal habitat, healthy active robust societies, cooperating, trading, investing in the future. If it did not it would put its own life in jeopardy. Bitcoin needs the human race to thrive in order to survive. larger population the more powerful btc becomes.

4. Response to stimuli. The health of the network will come to represent the health of the species. Threats to bitcoin are threats to humanity and it will defend itself both on chain and off accordingly.

5. Homeostasis - internal rhythm. The blocks chain and difficulty adjustment, also it has a growing period. Adolescent cycles, trying to capture as much human compute as possible, called the block subsidy. In it's mature form btc growth should represent total human productivity.

I don't remember who first posted this or the name. Digital dreams?

#ideas

Also if you were to calculate a daily average based on all of the ...

2026-10-19T19:09:05Z

In reply to nevent1q…2pmy
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Also if you were to calculate a daily average based on all of the data show (all bubbles... Excess liquidity), it would suggest a major continuation move up.

The ai chart in green is a continuation set up...

2026-10-19T19:06:09Z

In reply to nevent1q…2pmy
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The ai chart in green is a continuation set up...

Now search for overlapping geographical significants and the ...

2026-10-19T14:37:46Z

In reply to nevent1q…m84l
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Now search for overlapping geographical significants and the previous year of quiet political posturing, any patterns?

Essentially replacing the dollar as the colonial style extraction ...

2026-10-19T11:59:21Z

In reply to nevent1q…s55e
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Essentially replacing the dollar as the colonial style extraction mechanism of wealth from rest of world into american hands? Attempting to move all productivity he gains produced through they use of corporate american ai back american soil.

Though this system producers self defeating negative feedback loop.

These views come from someone who doesn't understand money, ...

2026-10-19T11:26:05Z

In reply to nevent1q…9dak
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These views come from someone who doesn't understand money, human action.

Isn't this old news last year?

2026-10-19T11:03:32Z

In reply to nevent1q…vzth
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Isn't this old news last year?

Ay 13c is the annual average temperature at which global economic ...

2026-10-18T12:55:57Z

In reply to nevent1q…92z0
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Ay 13c is the annual average temperature at which global economic productivity peaks...

All governments are religions and all religions are governments. ...

2026-10-18T12:52:19Z

In reply to nevent1q…rsey
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All governments are religions and all religions are governments. Perpetuated by increasingly consuming it's host, your agency. Civilization emerges from high agency individuals interacting..... government/religion inevitably destroys civilization.

They spread virally and fill parasitic hopefully passing niche that will fade and to history.

You do not need coercion, threat of violence or even a moral instruction manual to do good, you know what is right from childhood. The optimal state individual human prosperity is cooperation.

"But this is the price we pay"... Civilization emerges from the use of money despite the parasitic nature of governance structures.

We can not respect our ancestors by their mistakes but building on their success.

At what temperature?

2026-10-18T12:13:42Z

In reply to nevent1q…mggf
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At what temperature?

I frequently throughout the world see muslims praying in the ...

2026-10-18T11:54:50Z

In reply to nevent1q…2j67
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I frequently throughout the world see muslims praying in the incorrect direction this is not uncommon, most people have lost their spatial awareness simply relying on cellphones, can't speak to any other details though.

#nevent1q…fumz

2026-10-16T11:05:44Z

In reply to nevent1q…6ta8
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quoting nevent1q…fumz
⚡️👀 NEW - Google has just made a significant breakthrough in quantum computing.

Today, one of the biggest problems with quantum computers is that they make a huge number of errors during their calculations. These errors still prevent these machines from fully realizing their potential.

Google announced that it has succeeded in reducing errors affecting certain quantum states essential for complex calculations by a factor of 40, thanks to a technique called “Magic State Cultivation.”
In practical terms, where these states previously produced 40 errors, they would now produce only one under comparable conditions.

This discovery could lead to the development of much more reliable quantum computers capable, eventually, of solving problems that are impossible to tackle with our current machines.

The researchers achieved a record logical fidelity of 99.99% for certain quantum states, a result published in the prestigious journal *Science*

If you would like some thought on systems a step lower, Howard ...

2026-10-15T11:31:36Z

In reply to nevent1q…y34a
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If you would like some thought on systems a step lower, Howard Blooms book global brain, argues that evolution has operated for billions of years as a "global brain" a worldwide, networked learning machine in which all organisms from bacteria to humans act as interconnected nodes, each a "hypothesis" tested by a collective mind that rewards successful groups and discards failing ones through group selection rather than only competition.

Unrelated, money behaves very similar mimicking or hijacking naturally occurring systems this "global brain", unlocking society.

But your question is less about who are the greatest thinkers of our time and more of about who can traditionally formalize and distribute their thoughts the most.

Bit of a publicity stunt...

2026-10-15T00:40:52Z

In reply to nevent1q…g66x
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Bit of a publicity stunt...

One of the largest YouTube content creators moved to japan then ...

2026-10-15T00:40:32Z

In reply to nevent1q…xq20
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One of the largest YouTube content creators moved to japan then went down the self hosting free and open source rabbit hole, let's convince him to get on nostr.

If we were to consider the current Fiat era to be increasingly ...

2026-10-14T16:13:49Z

If we were to consider the current Fiat era to be increasingly minimizing global masculine and forcing the global feminine into roles it is not suited for, leading to many of the problems we see around us resulting from feminine force selecting for happiness instead of fairness... Has there been any point in time where we could see a inbalance this great between the two forces in the opposite direction, the global masculine dominating due to the absence of the feminine? And what where the consequences?

It would have looked like the masculine force playing roles it is not suited for, possibly impossible... Same as asking has there been a point where mothers did not mother?

#Random-thoughts

No check your computer monitor for our hidden sim card ...

2026-10-13T01:19:18Z

In reply to nevent1q…znpj
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No check your computer monitor for our hidden sim card installations?

Not because of the indicator but the price action.

2026-10-13T00:54:59Z

In reply to nevent1q…dfjx
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Not because of the indicator but the price action.

What's next computer monitors with hidden sim cards? ...

2026-10-13T00:49:30Z

What's next computer monitors with hidden sim cards?

#asknostr

Plenty of software to go around, but what we need is a high ...

2026-10-11T11:08:29Z

In reply to nevent1q…cww3
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Plenty of software to go around, but what we need is a high quality open source hardware revolution. Not many physical manufacturers on nostr.

#nevent1q…cxvp

2026-10-10T12:49:37Z

In reply to nevent1q…cmkz
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quoting nevent1q…cxvp
Fixed/updated version of my video about retro-crypto

Retro-Crypto for the Nintendo 64 is an open-source app that lets you generate keys, encrypt and decrypt data, and more. It's still in development, but I thought I should hurry up and finish this showcase video after the recent ColdCard hacks. Now I have to post this fixed version, which has been updated to accept up to 100 dice rolls when generating a seed.

The N64 ROM and source code are embedded in the corner of the video, using VideoStore Codec by Digital Assistant. The minimum required resolution to extract the files from this video seems to be 720p, based on my testing before posting.

As always, this was published on nostr first, before YouTube.

Internet Archive mirror - includes some additional project files, such as the VideoStore payloads and the plain N64 footage
http://archive.org/details/retrocrypto-launchvid
(will be uploaded after this post)

Check out Retro-Crypto by Bowler-Bear
https://github.com/bowler-bear/retro-crypto

Based on a proposal by whoever loves Digit
https://bounties.monero.social/posts/168/

Donate to Bowler-Bear for Retro-Crypto (Monero address)
85rkddSoYqwN4neAAgjJTFYYgyfU6pwT9dYquNyBzdtqBnr8QZCU1qoR6kjwMWEF6EMd2aGtrCuuA19irjWbTbKSKKF5yuv

Segment timestamps / "chapters" and additional credits in the replies

#vidstr #grownostr

An old laptop with no network card can also be a cold wallet

2026-10-10T12:47:30Z

In reply to nevent1q…cmkz
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An old laptop with no network card can also be a cold wallet

Now compared to gold right now higher timeframe...

2026-10-10T12:40:02Z

In reply to nevent1q…mqvq
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Now compared to gold right now higher timeframe...

Hard money standard, using a money that has a true maximum ...

2026-10-07T11:29:04Z

In reply to nevent1q…g6ue
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Hard money standard, using a money that has a true maximum supply. Productivity flows directly back to the consumer logarithmically. Not sure if there's even a word for it let.

Should always show the time across the bottom on your charts.

2026-10-06T03:08:24Z

In reply to nevent1q…uf3q
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Should always show the time across the bottom on your charts.

You think that's a society you're living in, look again. ...

2026-10-05T11:44:01Z

You think that's a society you're living in, look again.

#ideas

92 is the real target

2026-10-05T00:58:02Z

In reply to nevent1q…5u3w
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92 is the real target

Somebody doesn't understand money.

2026-10-04T20:59:53Z

In reply to nevent1q…st8m
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Somebody doesn't understand money.

"Every man takes the limits of his field of vision for the ...

2026-10-04T17:33:30Z

"Every man takes the limits of his field of vision for the limits of the world"

#nevent1q…v7zh

2026-10-03T12:03:45Z

In reply to nevent1q…85fa
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quoting nevent1q…v7zh
GM

Thank you infers choice.

2026-10-03T03:08:57Z

In reply to nevent1q…p5qw
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Thank you infers choice.

#nevent1q…gj30

2026-10-02T20:47:43Z

In reply to nevent1q…rema
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quoting nevent1q…gj30
Seagate, Western Digital Crater After Toshiba Breaks Hard-Drive "Supply Discipline" Pact

Seagate, Western Digital Crater After Toshiba Breaks Hard-Drive "Supply Discipline" Pact

For most of 2026, the bull case for the HDD duopoly could be summarized in one sentence: nobody is building new factories. On Friday, someone did.

Shares of Seagate (STX) and Western Digital (WDC) tumbled more than 10% on Friday, standing out like a sore thumb on a day when the Nasdaq hit all-time highs, after Nikkei https://asia.nikkei.com/business/electronics/toshiba-to-double-hard-disk-drive-supply-to-fill-ai-chip-memory-gap that Toshiba plans to double its hard disk drive production capacity to grab a bigger slice of the AI data center storage boom. As Goldman's TMT desk summarized the Nikkei story first thing in the morning:

Japanese technology group Toshiba plans to double production capacity for hard disk drives used in artificial intelligence data centers within fiscal 2027 as the AI boom propels data storage demand. The company will invest roughly 60 billion yen ($380 million) to expand facilities in the Philippines... The Japanese player's share by storage capacity stands at just over 10%, but it aims to reach 30% in the medium term. The Philippine expansion marks the company's first major HDD investment in around five years. Along with adding production lines at the plant, Toshiba will handle new products that increase per-unit memory capacity by as much as 40%.

By midday, Goldman's US equities desk flagged the "memory names, WDC (-10.9%) and STX (-11.6%)" as the "standout laggards" in an otherwise green tape, where AI winners were up 1.4% and NDX and NVDA had just printed all-time highs.

To be sure, a 10% drop is a flesh wound for stocks that have tripled. Even after Friday's puke, STX is still up some 208% YTD and WDC is up 141%, compared to a "mere" 22% for the Nasdaq 100.

But when you're priced for perfection, it's not the size of the hit that matters. It's where it lands.

The One Thing That Wasn't Supposed To Happen

Recall that the entire HDD up-cycle (as well as memory, chips, etc., pretty much everything in the semiconductor commodity chain) has been built on the premise of supply discipline, i.e., that none of the three remaining hard drive makers would add unit capacity, and that all exabyte growth would come from cramming more terabytes into each drive. Here is how Bernstein put it after hosting Seagate management on a non-deal roadshow in August (emphasis ours):

None of STX, WDC, or Toshiba are adding drive unit capacity, keeping industry-wide HDD supply structurally disciplined. Seagate management explained that its factories are effectively full, and rather than expanding units, management is targeting roughly 25% CAGR in nearline exabyte shipments purely by increasing capacity per drive via HAMR... building a new factory would take at least two years, which management has no plans to do.

Bernstein then went on to make STX its top pick precisely because "the broader industry's inability to scale supply keeps supply disciplined."

Well, oops: as of this morning, a third of "the broader industry" just announced it is scaling supply.

Regular readers will recall that we have seen this movie before. Back in May, in "https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/china-begins-flooding-market-dram-and-nand-chips", we noted that Seagate's CEO had told JPMorgan that building new factories would "take too long," and warned that once someone else steps in to fill the supply gap, the supply tightness that justified the memory ETF rally would collapse. That time it was CXMT and YMTC on the memory side, which is only getting started with the old Chinese "capture market share by dumping products at below market prices" trick. This time it's an old friend in spinning rust, and it happens to be in the Philippines rather than Hefei.

And yes, the timing is apt for another reason. Rosenblatt points out that hyperscalers are now negotiating long-term agreements (LTAs) extending into 2029-2031, and Toshiba's expansion "introduces a credible medium-term supply risk, giving customers incremental negotiating leverage." Evercore adds that while Seagate "has allocated the majority of its nearline exabytes into calendar year 2028," Western Digital is still "negotiating long-term agreements extending to calendar year 2031." Put differently: 2027-28 pricing is largely locked in. What the market is repricing is the back end of the curve, which, for stocks trading on out-year earnings power, is the part that matters.

"Overdone"... Says Everyone With A Buy Rating

Predictably, the sell-side, which is unanimously bullish - and very wrong today - on both names, rushed to defend the duopoly. The best arguments:

- Citi (Buy, WDC PT $740, STX PT $1,300) argues the bottleneck isn't Toshiba's factory but its suppliers: "Unlike STX and WDC, Toshiba does not internally source their own media and heads," so "in order to double their current EB capacity they would also need their external component suppliers to also significantly raise capacity – which we believe could limit the impact of total EB supplied to the market."

- Morgan Stanley (Overweight, buying the dip) says "the gap between HDD supply and demand through calendar 2028 still looks wider than Toshiba's planned addition," and notes Toshiba lacks leading-edge capacity and heat-assisted magnetic recording (HAMR) technology.

- Rosenblatt (Buy, WDC PT $800, STX PT $1,400) reads the news as "more about Toshiba reclaiming lost market share rather than the stated 30% market share ambitions," and continues "to see support for sustained pricing power from a worsening supply demand imbalance due to AI."

- Bloomberg Intelligence says the plan "looks more like validation of stronger AI and data-center storage demand than a near-term supply threat."
Translation: Street targets now sit 50% to 90% above Friday's price, which is either a screaming buy signal, or more correctly, a reminder that price targets tend to follow price, not the other way around.

Goldman, for its part, didn't need to rush out a defense because it already had one on file. At last month's Communacopia conference, Goldman's James Schneider came away from Seagate CFO Gianluca Romano's presentation with three takeaways:

- Seagate sees strong demand trends as continuing to support pricing uplift and margins through FY27;

- HAMR volumes well on track to cross over PMR by the end of calendar 2026;

- The company expects to continue high-yield debt retirement and pivot to share repurchases.
And just this week, Goldman's Korea memory team, reading across from Micron's results, said it expects "2027 and 2028 memory S/D to be much tighter than 2026," with customers "requesting longer duration and larger supply" agreements. Not exactly the backdrop for a glut.

The HAMR Moat

The real question is whether Toshiba's doubling matters as much as the stock reaction suggests. Some napkin math: going from "just over 10%" of industry exabytes to roughly double that by FY27 adds something like 10% to total industry exabyte supply, spread over two years. Meanwhile, Seagate alone is targeting ~25% nearline exabyte growth per year through HAMR. In other words, Toshiba's plan sounds big in a headline, but in exabyte terms it's a rounding error relative to what the HAMR transition is already adding, if, that is, Toshiba's head and media suppliers cooperate (see Citi above).

Which brings us to the part of the story the market may be glossing over: this isn't a level playing field. Seagate is the only player shipping HAMR at scale, and as Bernstein showed, its areal density lead already translates into faster exabyte growth than WDC...

... and, per Bernstein's forecasts, a gross margin that crosses above WDC's in FY27 and keeps climbing toward the mid-60s.

Which is also why Bernstein, back in August, said that while "a rising tide is lifting all boats," STX's HAMR lead "is why it is our top pick." If the tide is now going to recede a bit as Toshiba adds supply, the boat with the weakest areal density roadmap is the one most exposed. Hint: it's not Seagate, which may explain why WDC is now down more from its June peak than STX.

Meanwhile, The Picks And Shovels Rally

One more thing: equipment names catching a bid on the news included Veeco (+11%), whose data storage business sells ion beam deposition and etch tools used to make HDD read/write heads, i.e., a direct beneficiary of anyone (Toshiba or its suppliers) adding head capacity. Aixtron (+7%) also rallied, although its MOCVD tools are mostly used for compound semiconductors (GaN, SiC, optoelectronics), so the HDD link there is tenuous at best.

Bottom Line

The analysts are probably right that Toshiba's ¥60 billion won't put a dent in HDD pricing through 2028: the volumes are sold, the LTAs are signed, and Toshiba still needs someone to sell it heads and platters. But the market wasn't pricing the next two years; it was pricing a decade of monopoly-like discipline in an oligopoly of three.

The lesson from today is one which the rest of the world (and especially European car makers) are painfully familiar with: in commodity hardware, the cure for high prices is high prices, and sooner or later somebody in Asia builds a factory.

Whether this is the start of that cycle or just another buyable dip in an AI super-cycle (the sell-side unanimously votes for the latter) will depend on one thing: whether Seagate and WDC respond with capacity plans of their own. If they do, the "supply discipline" thesis is over. If they don't, Toshiba just bought itself some market share at the top of the cycle.

https://cms.zerohedge.com/users/tyler-durden
Fri, 10/02/2026 - 15:47

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/seagate-western-digital-crater-after-toshiba-breaks-hard-drive-supply-discipline-pact

... Canada in case anybody didn't know.

2026-10-02T20:36:03Z

In reply to nevent1q…ceqy
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... Canada in case anybody didn't know.

Not if they can find a large "trading partner" to ...

2026-10-02T20:32:33Z

In reply to nevent1q…y42a
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Not if they can find a large "trading partner" to exploit. They have already destroyed all the value within their own populations, now they must expand, start wars or die.

#nevent1q…slkq

2026-10-01T11:15:39Z

In reply to nevent1q…7jza
_________________________

quoting nevent1q…slkq
It borrowed the metaphor of channel surfing — surf directly between relevant content instead of searching, scanning, clicking, and going back.

https://cacherat.com/2026/09/18/dit-021-stumbleupon-the-end-of-a-shared-culture-of-web-wandering/

📄 #DeadInternetTheoryDIT #GhostCitiesTheAbandonedPublicWeb #SocialBookmarking #StumbleUpon #WebDiscovery

#nevent1q…xp4r

2026-10-01T11:13:50Z

In reply to nevent1q…7jza
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quoting nevent1q…xp4r
StumbleUpon for nostr?

Sounds like a publicity stunt

2026-09-30T12:47:33Z

In reply to nevent1q…n6xy
_________________________

Sounds like a publicity stunt

Bitcoin rewards efficiency and punishes inefficiency. Any ai is ...

2026-09-28T14:07:11Z

In reply to nevent1q…nqqn
_________________________

Bitcoin rewards efficiency and punishes inefficiency. Any ai is extremely inefficient in comparison to the human mind.

List please

2026-09-28T00:36:17Z

In reply to nevent1q…8svk
_________________________

List please

Arguably just now coming out of a consolidation from 2017 blow ...

2026-09-27T15:23:48Z

In reply to nevent1q…ekh6
_________________________

Arguably just now coming out of a consolidation from 2017 blow off top.

Also anyone using tor cannot see your links... Most of nostr

I can build wealth, become a landlord and charge rent all well ...

2026-09-27T12:33:38Z

In reply to nevent1q…qwjx
_________________________

I can build wealth, become a landlord and charge rent all well improving the lives of everyone i interact with, no coercion needed. I personally bear the risk of failure if the market does not require my property.

Accretive, increases value for society.

I can not gain the position of king or maintain it, even in the best case scenario where are the majority of the population agrees to elevate my status with zero violence. There will always be at least one who disagrees and must be violently forced to conform their behavior. All taxation under this system is not consensual, everyone understands at some level the incentives are misaligned. The stolen money can never have the same value to the ones who did not earn it and because of this should be immediately considered malinvestment.

Dissipative, Pyrrhic, net negative decreasing value for society.

The point is in the first scenario all parties have choice and all incentives are correctly aligned. Profit flows to those who benefit others, reinforcing systems of cooperation, mutual benefit.

In the second taxation system can only destroy value for all as we can never know how the misappropriated value would have been spent, invested, saved when the person who worked for the money has a choice in what to do with it.

It really looks like you're trying to incorporate all common informal fallacies into a single idea but i assume he already know this. You must be fishing for counter arguments.

If your ideas require a guillotine they were not strong ideas to ...

2026-09-27T11:45:16Z

In reply to nevent1q…ftsj
_________________________

If your ideas require a guillotine they were not strong ideas to begin with.

The birth of the modern state

2026-09-27T11:43:36Z

In reply to nevent1q…y0ru
_________________________

The birth of the modern state

Audio Mises Wire: Why the French Revolution Was Not a Libertarian ...

2026-09-27T11:42:31Z

In reply to nevent1q…y0ru
_________________________

Audio Mises Wire: Why the French Revolution Was Not a Libertarian Revolution

Episode webpage: https://mises.org/podcasts/audio-mises-wire/why-french-revolution-was-not-libertarian-revolution

Media file: https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/cdn.mises.org/2026-08/mises-145800_20260821.mp3

I can choose to work save for the future and become a landlord.

2026-09-26T20:59:59Z

In reply to nevent1q…642p
_________________________

I can choose to work save for the future and become a landlord.

Unpredictability*

2026-09-26T11:52:20Z

In reply to nevent1q…f6z3
_________________________

Unpredictability*

Would definitely need more context then you're willing to ...

2026-09-23T21:37:43Z

In reply to nevent1q…ynmx
_________________________

Would definitely need more context then you're willing to give.

Integrated tor?

2026-09-23T11:50:01Z

In reply to nevent1q…xu8x
_________________________

Integrated tor?

Not something they should be proud about, genders naturally skew, ...

2026-09-23T11:43:43Z

In reply to nevent1q…6jm6
_________________________

Not something they should be proud about, genders naturally skew, if the numbers don't show these natural tendencies then somebody is playing fiat games.

It's very nice to see some clean charts on here.

2026-09-22T17:41:29Z

In reply to nevent1q…jmc3
_________________________

It's very nice to see some clean charts on here.

And the strange coincidence is many vehicles from Europe ...

2026-09-22T11:03:59Z

In reply to nevent1q…5xzg
_________________________

And the strange coincidence is many vehicles from Europe 2019/2020 will brick if you attempt to remove the sim fuse computer controlling these systems.

could argue bitcoin should incentivize development of these mesh ...

2026-09-22T11:00:23Z

In reply to nevent1q…vpam
_________________________

could argue bitcoin should incentivize development of these mesh networks in order to protect itself, but maybe the threat is not close enough yet.

Any updates?

2026-09-22T01:49:25Z

In reply to nevent1q…g5k6
_________________________

Any updates?

Good stuff can found here. ...

2026-09-22T01:18:45Z

In reply to nevent1q…8fa6
_________________________

Good stuff can found here.

https://inv.nadeko.net/channel/UC1rFmaGLYr0Ve_Y_soxZNWQ

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC1rFmaGLYr0Ve_Y_soxZNWQ

Just in case anybody was curious, White Noise is free and fully ...

2026-09-21T17:57:59Z

In reply to nevent1q…82h4
_________________________

Just in case anybody was curious,

White Noise is free and fully open source. Its code is published on GitHub (marmot-protocol/whitenoise) under the AGPL-3.0 license, and the app is free to download and use (no phone number or email required).
It is built on Nostr plus the MLS (Messaging Layer Security) protocol, now part of the open "Marmot Protocol" (Nostr + MLS + Blossom).

Maybe just not fully allocated yet.

2026-09-21T17:29:17Z

In reply to nevent1q…tgva
_________________________

Maybe just not fully allocated yet.

I wouldn't expect to move down until a false break, zoom out ...

2026-09-21T12:18:09Z

In reply to nevent1q…fyac
_________________________

I wouldn't expect to move down until a false break, zoom out a little bit coming into resistance.

Would have to move down very soon otherwise this large ...

2026-09-21T11:45:41Z

In reply to nevent1q…zl3h
_________________________

Would have to move down very soon otherwise this large consolidation at the high could double the move up easily.

I wouldn't say that just yet, pushing above the previous high ...

2026-09-21T10:50:54Z

In reply to nevent1q…qdyj
_________________________

I wouldn't say that just yet, pushing above the previous high directly into the major resistance. Where do more liquidation sit? The reverse of uptober?

#nevent1q…0h9y

2026-09-21T01:16:57Z

In reply to nevent1q…dh44
_________________________

quoting nevent1q…0h9y
🚨🇫🇷 WayToMe dataset allegedly exposing 600K+ records offered for sale
⠀
WayToMe is a French peer-to-peer delivery platform that connects people who need to send parcels with individuals willing to transport them along their existing journeys. (WayToMe)
⠀
A forum actor using the handle "Quantique" claims to have compromised WayToMe and extracted multiple datasets after allegedly discovering exposed Supabase access within the application's client-side files.
⠀
Claimed exposed data includes:
⠀
• User data: 147K+ profiles, names, avatars, account status and verification fields
• Route data: 363K+ routes, locations, coordinates, dates and journey information
• Notification data: 153K+ messages, recipient emails and notification metadata
• Parcel data: 5K+ listings containing routes, dimensions, prices, photos and postal information
• Platform data: package images, profile images and additional internal records
⠀
The actor also claims they retained access to the Supabase environment and email/SMS functionality, and alleges that some tables were deleted after the data was extracted.
⠀
Samples from the user, route, notification and parcel datasets were published as purported proof. The collection is advertised for $300, negotiable.
⠀
This claim is currently unverified.
⠀
💥 No delays. No guessing. No redactions. Get the intel threat actors see, the moment they post it. darkwebinformer.com/pricing

If you only consider the current moment, but if you look at the ...

2026-09-20T19:40:42Z

In reply to nevent1q…rqtl
_________________________

If you only consider the current moment, but if you look at the trend over centuries, technology is increasing the ability for individuals to practice non aggression. Right now it seems difficult due to central banking but if you take away that leg the statist will fall.

And if no one is willing to do their duty...

2026-09-20T19:32:37Z

In reply to nevent1q…uhgy
_________________________

And if no one is willing to do their duty...

"The tyranny that now exists is actual. That which may exist ...

2026-09-20T16:02:21Z

"The tyranny that now exists is actual. That which may exist in the future is potential. If we are always to draw back from change with the thought that the change may be for the worse, then there is no hope at all of ever escaping injustice."

Isaac Asimov, Foundation

#ideas #foundation

"The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how ...

2026-09-20T16:00:22Z

"The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design."

Friedrich Hayek, The Use of Knowledge in Society

The Austrian case is that fear of the future under a planned system isn't a bug, it's the correct signal that the system is wrong.

#ideas #hayek

"By the time we awaken faintly to the awareness that we have ...

2026-09-20T15:56:14Z

"By the time we awaken faintly to the awareness that we have been socially conditioned, we find ourselves so indoctrinated that it's difficult, if not impossible, to break the old patterns."

— Frank Herbert, Man's Future in Space (1981)

#ideas #dune

"Every time you are tempted to react in the same old way, ask ...

2026-09-20T15:51:24Z

"Every time you are tempted to react in the same old way, ask if you want to be a prisoner of the past or a pioneer of the future."

Now what happens if you sum venezuela greenland and canada under ...

2026-09-20T14:49:15Z

In reply to nevent1q…xs9f
_________________________

Now what happens if you sum venezuela greenland and canada under one category?

I hope there's not a correlation with popularity of the ...

2026-09-20T14:12:24Z

In reply to nevent1q…2mxn
_________________________

I hope there's not a correlation with popularity of the mustache look. Men who are overly focused on appearance?

The question becomes does a fixed supply unlock something new we ...

2026-09-20T12:51:43Z

In reply to nevent1q…dfwt
_________________________

The question becomes does a fixed supply unlock something new we haven't seen before, something without a name yet, what are the consequences?

And good luck explaining how productivity gains will flow back to ...

2026-09-20T12:36:26Z

In reply to nevent1q…ky8l
_________________________

And good luck explaining how productivity gains will flow back to the consumer, how we don't actually want more jobs, how you will work less receive less numerically but gain more value.

nonsensical metrics IQ, GDP, Inflation, jobs, unemployment....

2026-09-20T12:32:26Z

In reply to nevent1q…w4vp
_________________________

nonsensical metrics

IQ, GDP, Inflation, jobs, unemployment....

Well that is it's purpose, what's really impressive is it ...

2026-09-20T12:29:11Z

In reply to nevent1q…2zr8
_________________________

Well that is it's purpose, what's really impressive is it takes a decade in humans to remove critical thinking and the void it leaves behind we call obedience.

Is the primary goal privacy, or could there be something more. ...

2026-09-20T12:10:07Z

In reply to nevent1q…n3jr
_________________________

Is the primary goal privacy, or could there be something more. Everything has a cost but does xmr sacrifice in comparison to bitcoin.

Only in limited by human population

2026-09-20T00:38:21Z

In reply to nevent1q…c8k2
_________________________

Only in limited by human population

#nevent1q…0km0

2026-09-19T23:59:01Z

In reply to nevent1q…wudr
_________________________

quoting nevent1q…0km0
Yes. After launching on Apple App Store and Google Play, we’ll also launch on Zapstore and F-Droid.

Just blindly purchasing monetized indices or large cap dividend ...

2026-09-19T13:13:57Z

In reply to nevent1q…30uu
_________________________

Just blindly purchasing monetized indices or large cap dividend yield in stocks do not beat inflation and expose you to extreme counterparty risk. If any cohort becomes over extended overconfident the market will find a way too humble them.

Positioning and position sizing is everything because in the long run all that matters is risk mitigation.

#nevent1q…gf22

2026-09-19T10:17:18Z

In reply to nevent1q…s8t0
_________________________

quoting nevent1q…gf22
New ad by the Norwegian Consumer Council about the declining lifespan of products.

#nevent1q…lfd2

2026-09-19T10:16:29Z

In reply to nevent1q…ezfc
_________________________

quoting nevent1q…lfd2
Shopping

Within a late stage fiat system, shopping can be defined as "the search for products or services that (exploit, betray, defraud) you the least, well still achieving a some minimum level of desired goal with little relationship to the price paid". Negativity focused process.

Within a sound money standard shopping can be defined as " The search for a product or service which returns the most satisfaction in relationship to it's price". Positivity focused process.

#Definitions #ideas

#nevent1q…fe3x

2026-09-18T22:05:57Z

In reply to nevent1q…0w83
_________________________

quoting nevent1q…fe3x
Shopping

Within a late stage fiat system, shopping can be defined as "the search for products or services that (exploit, betray, defraud) you the least, well still achieving a some minimum level of desired goal with little relationship to the price paid". Negativity focused process.

Within a sound money standard shopping can be defined as " The search for a product or service which returns the most satisfaction in relationship to it's price". Positivity focused process.

#Definitions #ideas

Due to the fact or tendency that in late stage fiat systems no ...

2026-09-18T15:31:23Z

In reply to nevent1q…dntu
_________________________

Due to the fact or tendency that in late stage fiat systems no good products can actually be produced. The purchasing power of the consumer falls far below the monetized cost of materials.

Shopping Within a late stage fiat system, shopping can be defined ...

2026-09-18T15:26:35Z

Shopping

Within a late stage fiat system, shopping can be defined as "the search for products or services that (exploit, betray, defraud) you the least, well still achieving a some minimum level of desired goal with little relationship to the price paid". Negativity focused process.

Within a sound money standard shopping can be defined as " The search for a product or service which returns the most satisfaction in relationship to it's price". Positivity focused process.

#Definitions #ideas

Native people are humans living in the same destructive fiat ...

2026-09-18T14:35:56Z

In reply to nevent1q…z39p
_________________________

Native people are humans living in the same destructive fiat systems as everyone else, exposed to the same negative incentives. The fairy tale native narrative is simply that.

Before second arrival of humans to the continent they were individuals desperately trying to survive, again no different than everyone else but this does not justify the atrocities committed by the newcomers and the religious mind viruses which accompanied them.

All this to say the land will be developed, exploited, monopolized its just a matter of time.

On f-droid?

2026-09-18T13:46:09Z

In reply to nevent1q…8h9l
_________________________

On f-droid?

Value is subjective, you are already rich if you believe it.

2026-09-18T01:07:31Z

In reply to nevent1q…ylv9
_________________________

Value is subjective, you are already rich if you believe it.