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  <updated>2026-10-21T21:24:28Z</updated>
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  <title>Nostr notes by chud</title>
  <author>
    <name>chud</name>
  </author>
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  <entry>
    <id>https://nostr.now/nevent1qqs0sve4mpnllgwt9t00hhesm54nwxslgsaqpzxwmfkztpku3q0yl3gzyzqrxtzqjg5kvl3j0acy0gldnqdtxr9w8trlfyu2th5e9s62arhhu2eu58u</id>
    
      <title type="html">The 30% thing is a meme ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://nostr.now/nevent1qqs0sve4mpnllgwt9t00hhesm54nwxslgsaqpzxwmfkztpku3q0yl3gzyzqrxtzqjg5kvl3j0acy0gldnqdtxr9w8trlfyu2th5e9s62arhhu2eu58u" />
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      In reply to &lt;a href=&#39;/nevent1qqs9z45tn5n0xu0htjvzpd6kyjdxeqc79u6npjnruhz4c2mlxrm0lwct4gq80&#39;&gt;nevent1q…gq80&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br/&gt;_________________________&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;The 30% thing is a meme&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;a href=&#34;https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/abs/10.1098/rspb.2013.2400&#34;&gt;https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/abs/10.1098/rspb.2013.2400&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&amp;#34;Using two independent methods, we estimate that over the last few centuries, EPP rates in Flanders (Belgium) were only around 1–2% per generation. This figure is substantially lower than the 8–30% per generation reported in some behavioural studies on historical EPP rates, but comparable with the rates reported by other genetic studies of contemporary Western European populations.&amp;#34;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;a href=&#34;https://www.nature.com/articles/hdy201536&#34;&gt;https://www.nature.com/articles/hdy201536&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&amp;#34;The rate of cuckoldry in this Western population was 0.9% (95% confidence interval 0.4–1.5%), and we argue that given the current data on historical populations we have to conclude that, at least for Western human populations, cuckoldry rate is probably in the range of 1%.&amp;#34;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;a href=&#34;https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12110-012-9143-y&#34;&gt;https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12110-012-9143-y&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&amp;#34;Given this number of exclusions, a maximum likelihood estimate of the nonpaternity rate in the population of 0.94% was obtained with asymptotic 95% confidence limits of 0.33% and 1.55%, respectively. This result is in accordance with recent surveys as well as findings from Switzerland for a comparable sample, and it suggests that earlier estimates of the nonpaternity rate which were often in excess of 10% may have been largely exaggerated.&amp;#34;
    </content>
    <updated>2024-11-14T21:52:27Z</updated>
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