Nostr notes by Nick Pilon

Translation: O'Leary's got some stranded assets on one ...

2025-01-13T20:33:43Z

In reply to nevent1q…czur
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Translation: O'Leary's got some stranded assets on one side of the border and thinks that an economic union will let him rescue them without taking a bath on exchange rates.

"the MPs Global News spoke to" hmmm so that would be ...

2025-01-08T20:50:27Z

In reply to nevent1q…9v7f
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"the MPs Global News spoke to" hmmm so that would be Wayne Long, Anthony Housefather, and Wayne Long in a set of dollar store spy glasses?

Freeland said as much in her resignation letter! She declared ...

2025-01-08T17:22:36Z

In reply to nevent1q…7hyl
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Freeland said as much in her resignation letter! She declared that the disagreement between her and Trudeau was because she wanted a hard pivot to crushing austerity and didn't like penciling in payments to settle reconciliation claims.

And a bunch of NDP-aligned leftists cheered for her because girlboss or something.

Austerity faction Liberals have been pushing hard to seize control for a while now.

I think this overlooks that there's clearly been factional ...

2025-01-07T14:15:21Z

In reply to nevent1q…e2tu
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I think this overlooks that there's clearly been factional tensions within the party for some time, particularly around foreign and fiscal policy. Freeland as deputy PM / finance minister was a compromise for the deficit hawks, but that's been getting less "compromise" and more "we do it my way".

Remember last fall, when there were rumors circling of *massive* defense cuts, and Blair had to go public with his opposition to them?

Assuming it's not all kayfabe, Freeland's letter lays out ...

2024-12-16T16:47:15Z

In reply to nevent1q…9nwq
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Assuming it's not all kayfabe, Freeland's letter lays out very clearly her split with the PM: she wants a balanced budget, compromises on social justice and civil rights, a dead air messaging strategy, and to fight Trump by submitting to capital and investment interests.

The gimmicks indeed might work. Freeland's strategy won't. It's Paul Martin 2.0.

it's very interesting that she emphasized a low-advertising, ...

2024-12-16T16:06:52Z

In reply to nevent1q…7kc3
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it's very interesting that she emphasized a low-advertising, low-comms, "do good things and let voters recognize them" politics approach as we close in on the end of the first quarter under their new campaign leadership, who have been launching a more aggressive advertising strategy.

Very interesting.

because Paul Martin was so successful. Let's do Paul Martin ...

2024-12-16T15:40:05Z

In reply to nevent1q…5u29
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because Paul Martin was so successful. Let's do Paul Martin Round 2: this time with more austerity and an even nastier US President!

And the stuff about "Canadians will recognize and respect our approach" - that's an interesting thing to include in a letter like this. I'm curious, why do you think that's there?

There's not much reading in necessary, Freeland spells out ...

2024-12-16T15:31:19Z

In reply to nevent1q…s7vc
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There's not much reading in necessary, Freeland spells out her motivations clearly in her letter:

- "Fight for capital and investment"
- Work in good faith and humility with the [conservative] Premiers of the provinces
- Keep our fiscal powder dry
- Manage our spending

I'm astonished by how many Canadian progressives are unable to recognize a demand for harsh, brutal austerity if it's delivered by a woman.

I'm comparing with them because I'm most familiar with ...

2024-12-02T20:43:42Z

In reply to nevent1q…2f4h
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I'm comparing with them because I'm most familiar with them, *and* they're quite different. I believe most Commonwealth countries have "private club" parties similar to Canada, don't they? With the distinction that our parties are mostly governed by paid members, while most in Commonwealth countries they're governed by elected members.

I disagree a BIT; I think approach parties as private clubs that ...

2024-12-02T20:12:58Z

In reply to nevent1q…98n4
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I disagree a BIT; I think approach parties as private clubs that can set their own rules is WAY healthier than the pseudo-public-but-not-really approach of US parties.

I agree that a lot of the ways our parties have shifted their procedures are warning signs for democratic health.

it's absolutely not in any way credible, and I really feel ...

2024-12-02T19:18:44Z

In reply to nevent1q…sl9c
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it's absolutely not in any way credible, and I really feel like the CPC is getting increasingly desperate here. They've gone from clever and sneering to incoherent sputtering.

also to give Trump an audience other than Zelensky to perform ...

2024-11-09T18:57:48Z

In reply to nevent1q…vjp7
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also to give Trump an audience other than Zelensky to perform for, to keep him on message and on target. And to make sure there was someone who could step in if he started freelancing.

The people who got Trump back in office clearly do not trust him one bit.

of course it would! Is anyone seriously arguing that the security ...

2024-11-02T16:38:45Z

In reply to nevent1q…epcl
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of course it would! Is anyone seriously arguing that the security services can overrule political leadership?!?

okay angus Reid is especially hallucinating Jesus in the browning ...

2024-11-02T12:15:54Z

In reply to nevent1q…x38m
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okay angus Reid is especially hallucinating Jesus in the browning on his toast.

SciAm has a great piece on how polling these days is almost entirely weighting because of low response rates: https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/why-election-polling-has-become-less-reliable/

And even it kind of skims past how, eg, the US Presidential polling miss in 2016 was a *weighting miss*.

they’re seeing Jesus in their browned toast, demonic messages ...

2024-11-02T00:10:33Z

In reply to nevent1q…ferz
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they’re seeing Jesus in their browned toast, demonic messages in the record played backwards. We’re built for hunting patterns, and these polling brain geniuses are taking their survey results and slamming filters and weights on them until a consistent narrative comes out.

we just had a 10% polling miss one way in SK, a 5% the other way ...

2024-11-01T22:10:27Z

In reply to nevent1q…8jnl
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we just had a 10% polling miss one way in SK, a 5% the other way in NB, and fucking Nate Cohn outright admitted today to stacking his polls for Trump because he doesn’t believe any results he gets showing a Harris lead. (Ping me on Bluesky, I’ll forward the posts)

The polls are cooked. Unfortunately this means we’re left with no knowledge whatsoever.

And he had those numbers in mind after coming out of what I'm ...

2024-11-01T17:10:51Z

In reply to nevent1q…fj25
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And he had those numbers in mind after coming out of what I'm sure was a tense meeting! The OLP *missed* in 2023, they had a superstar in the making on their hands.

It's a great piece, and Max does an amazing job of arguing ...

2024-11-01T16:19:50Z

In reply to nevent1q…vqgq
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It's a great piece, and Max does an amazing job of arguing it. I think there's even a few more scenarios that would improve matters for both youth and old folks. I know Nate Erskine-Smith made similar points *from memory* at his impromptu post-coup attempt presser.

after lighting a bunch of money on fire and burning a ton of ...

2024-10-29T20:31:07Z

In reply to nevent1q…rvka
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after lighting a bunch of money on fire and burning a ton of favors to precisely zero effect David Parker is feeling like he needs to assert his masculinity. I fully expect him to coup Smith just to show he can do it.

yeah 47/2 will be a tricky balancing act for the greens but if ...

2024-10-28T23:33:15Z

In reply to nevent1q…nnga
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yeah 47/2 will be a tricky balancing act for the greens but if they’re smart I think they can get a lot for their support. I think they’d have an easier time at 46/2 since they’d have the big no confidence stick but…

back up to 18 per cbc tracker. I’d love to know demographics ...

2024-10-28T21:51:01Z

In reply to nevent1q…3gpe
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back up to 18 per cbc tracker. I’d love to know demographics for mail vs in person vs absentee.

47 NDP / 2 green is a weird number for balance of power; 46 NDP / 2 green is almost better for a functional power sharing arrangement. 47 means the NDP basically has to nominate a speaker from their own ranks which leaves them a vote short for passing legislation but immune to no confidence.

On the other hand 47/2 means David Parker eats dirt so I am rooting for it.

Updated 22m ago: ...

2024-10-28T19:57:04Z

In reply to nevent1q…6jen
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Updated 22m ago: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/bc-elxn-oct-28-1.7365413

NDP lead in JdF-M: 114
In Surrey Center: called (NDP win)
*NDP lead* in Surrey-Guildford: 14 votes

in the interest of getting the latest info in thread as this just ...

2024-10-28T00:38:04Z

In reply to nevent1q…uqas
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in the interest of getting the latest info in thread as this just got boosted into my feed:

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/bc-election-counting-oct-26-1.7364860

Current NDP lead in JdF-M: 113
In Surrey Center: 178
Current BCC lead in Surrey-Guildford: 12

All districts still need absentee ballots counted; recounts are based on final count after absentee count.

yeah that's what I'm getting at here. Whatever the ...

2024-10-24T16:06:20Z

In reply to nevent1q…qpz9
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yeah that's what I'm getting at here. Whatever the motivations of the original letter-signers, they let their effort get hijacked by Ken McDonald and his gang of oil-guzzling bomb-throwers, who promptly made a media circus of the whole thing.

I'll add that if they wanted more input, they shouldn't ...

2024-10-24T15:16:27Z

In reply to nevent1q…evza
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I'll add that if they wanted more input, they shouldn't have let their effort be hijacked and turned into a media circus by Those Guys. While things were private and in-caucus, sure, whatever. The instant Anonymous MPs started signing and then running to brag to CBC, they should've pulled the plug and found a better strategy.

And yet he signed on to an effort being lead by Wayne Long, Ken ...

2024-10-24T15:03:44Z

In reply to nevent1q…379e
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And yet he signed on to an effort being lead by Wayne Long, Ken McDonald, and Sean Casey. Very much a "are you sure you want to sit down at the table with those people?" situation.

I'd be more charitable to their demands for more input if they were demanding *input*. Instead they're demanding they be given control over who's in the driver's seat. It feels more like complaining about being asked to do *work* than wanting to participate.

even the caucus rebellion shit (which appears to have fluffed out ...

2024-10-24T14:12:46Z

In reply to nevent1q…7qax
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even the caucus rebellion shit (which appears to have fluffed out at ... between 16 and 25 rebels, depending on who you believe) seems to have been the same surly austerian/anti-woke/warmonger crowd as usual.

*Who* replaces Trudeau is incredibly important. Handing power back to the Martin wing of the LPC would be a disaster.

Good op-ed on this subject that might still be free: https://www.thestar.com/opinion/contributors/trudeau-has-made-mistakes-but-here-are-the-reasons-canada-still-needs-him/article_f52c474a-914c-11ef-9a44-074d4258e435.html

My "please ignore that my completely organic opinion about ...

2024-10-24T12:41:02Z

In reply to nevent1q…gpme
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My "please ignore that my completely organic opinion about the Liberals, which is based on things my friends and family say and not at all influenced by mass media, is identical to the material pushed by a massive oil industry propaganda campaign" t-shirt is prompting many questions answered by my t-shirt. 🧐

I lived in California for 15 years. Regularly got asked “oh ...

2024-10-24T11:24:02Z

I lived in California for 15 years. Regularly got asked “oh you’ve got a very strong accent, where are you from?” (the Maritimes, eh) followed by friendly “enjoying the weather then?” etc.

The *same people* would casually talk about how we needed to get rid of all the immigrants coming here from other countries, taking jobs and driving up land prices. And this was a liberal part of the state.

From: Steve Easterbrook (npub1eak…ha4p)
https://fediscience.org/@steve/113360114050519625

hey a 72% chance that the greens provide a supply & ...

2024-10-22T22:52:33Z

In reply to nevent1q…z9qn
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hey a 72% chance that the greens provide a supply & confidence for a BCC minority sounds about right! 🤪

oh my god who’s the byline on that I’ve got to know

2024-10-21T11:45:57Z

In reply to nevent1q…jwdf
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oh my god who’s the byline on that I’ve got to know

I would call that slightly inaccurate. Anna Kindy won, but some ...

2024-10-20T19:53:04Z

In reply to nevent1q…l448
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I would call that slightly inaccurate. Anna Kindy won, but some two thousand Green Party supporters spoiled their ballots to give her the win, rather than voting strategically to avoid a worst-case outcome.

It’s sad if they thought they were making a statement, because it’s one no one will ever hear.

I’m a long time Miles Vorkosigan fan, my eyes were opened to ...

2024-10-20T00:52:19Z

In reply to nevent1q…3djs
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I’m a long time Miles Vorkosigan fan, my eyes were opened to the collective hallucination early 😇

for sure! But like where can he throw his weight around vs where ...

2024-10-20T00:32:54Z

In reply to nevent1q…48dj
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for sure! But like where can he throw his weight around vs where does he have to play ball, where are the provinces dependent on the Feds or vice versa… If you’re not deep in it all sounds made up.

it’s complicated; I don’t know if I could give a correct ...

2024-10-19T22:43:42Z

In reply to nevent1q…zn7h
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it’s complicated; I don’t know if I could give a correct rundown of what’s federal and provincial and shared responsibility. And also our political news media is full of confident lies.

I try to reflect on myself as an undergrad - I thought I was ...

2024-10-19T22:30:30Z

In reply to nevent1q…dyxj
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I try to reflect on myself as an undergrad - I thought I was pretty plugged in to news, as I knew more than any of my friends around me, but I was really pretty fucking naive! I didn’t get the real Martin succession story, I didn’t follow municipal or provincial politics at ALL.

But I could name the PM and my MP and some cabinet ministers, and talk world affairs, and most of my friends couldn’t do that.

aha! Okay that actually makes me feel better 🤣 I’ve seen a ...

2024-10-19T22:03:34Z

In reply to nevent1q…qh5h
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aha! Okay that actually makes me feel better 🤣 I’ve seen a couple of US campaigns including the Sanders 2020 primary go totally sideways because they had bad list hygiene.

Fingers crossed for a Mean Green Election Machine turning out the people it needed to there!

concerning that the BCNDP(edit: or sorry more likely BCGreens?) ...

2024-10-19T21:54:29Z

In reply to nevent1q…jvfm
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concerning that the BCNDP(edit: or sorry more likely BCGreens?) had these folks on their list; you’d think that they would have better hygiene to avoid turning out their opponents’ votes.

Also: bad information environment! People are confused and filling in the blanks with junk, and think they’re informed! And algorithmic social media makes this worse, by putting mass media messaging into the mouths of friends and family.

it would be less bad if they weren’t so clearly clowns, really.

2024-10-19T20:47:48Z

In reply to nevent1q…nhwz
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it would be less bad if they weren’t so clearly clowns, really.

Pratyush Dayal wins today’s coveted “reporter can’t hide ...

2024-10-19T17:14:31Z

Pratyush Dayal wins today’s coveted “reporter can’t hide their transphobia” award: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/saskatoon/change-room-policy-transgender-reaction-1.7356488 - after some really good interviews with advocates and experts, he went and scraped up some “random” transphobes he “just happened” to encounter in Saskatoon to add colour to his story.

Only one reason to do that!

I remember news media here in Halifax painting Martin as ...

2024-10-18T15:10:48Z

In reply to nevent1q…3qeu
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I remember news media here in Halifax painting Martin as Chretien's handpicked successor. Which uh turns out was *not at all* what happened like *wow*.

(I think it was mostly Liberal-leaning media trying to paper over the bloodstains, but still!)

yeah there was a lot of sound and fury around it followed by a ...

2024-10-18T12:21:36Z

In reply to nevent1q…mj26
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yeah there was a lot of sound and fury around it followed by a conspicuous absence of follow-up. Which could mean the coup plotters are consolidating their forces, or could mean that they've overplayed their hand.

I was reading recently about the Martin/Chretien switch and WOW my media diet at the time did NOT inform me of how that went down.

really makes me wonder if there's a link between this and the ...

2024-10-18T12:12:48Z

In reply to nevent1q…u2f6
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really makes me wonder if there's a link between this and the Liberal caucus coup attempt.

he seems to be sharing a remarkable amount of detailed ...

2024-10-18T11:15:38Z

In reply to nevent1q…4kdc
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he seems to be sharing a remarkable amount of detailed information here. It makes me wonder if - as with the Indian accusations this week, which the US clearly supported - we’ve managed to work with our allies to get a deep look into these networks…

I'm now betting that Ken whatshisface, the Newfoundland blue ...

2024-10-15T15:09:51Z

In reply to nevent1q…ky6x
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I'm now betting that Ken whatshisface, the Newfoundland blue Liberal who loves trashing Trudeau, heard about the letter going around and trotted out some gossip to his contacts knowing that they wouldn't bother to cross check.

lol lmao what that's even more absurd and more out there than ...

2024-10-15T14:25:41Z

In reply to nevent1q…2apa
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lol lmao what that's even more absurd and more out there than i predicted. I'm going to have to recalibrate.

oh suddenly it’s unacceptable that CSIS is passing judgment ...

2024-10-15T11:03:11Z

In reply to nevent1q…9vk7
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oh suddenly it’s unacceptable that CSIS is passing judgment based on intelligence analysis. 🧐 A responsible reporter would side by side these statements with the things the same people said about torqued Chinese foreign interference reporting last year.

I’m convinced that half the skepticism towards the idea of ...

2024-10-14T13:28:25Z

In reply to nevent1q…0d4w
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I’m convinced that half the skepticism towards the idea of strategic voting in Canada comes from leaders acting like this, deliberately invoking it incorrectly to try to throw ridings to the opposition.

It’s bad calculus but there’s clearly a bunch of political strategists who push this same plan.

“the head of our government is governing instead of play acting ...

2024-10-13T11:52:35Z

In reply to nevent1q…hurg
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“the head of our government is governing instead of play acting in our feverish conspiracy narratives. Why is he being so irresponsible?”

It would be delightful to have a national media that’s not operated by caliper-obsessed failsons.

lol they’re literally trying to run the same script that was ...

2024-10-12T17:35:48Z

In reply to nevent1q…wgnx
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lol they’re literally trying to run the same script that was run on Biden in hopes they can actually cause a meltdown this time. If they’re saying 30-40 then the actual number is probably 13-14.

But consent machine go brrrrrrr

This is all so transparently about trying to cut off the best liberal (& ndp) strategy: let the economic recovery settle in, get some pharma deals maybe with some new premiers, let the US election wrap, and go to the polls on an actual record.

Nostr event nevent1qqsy37rr0qd4twtp2e5hx4wdmg7p2ghcfexpmuz4kfpel9uqa7m0rkqzyrvgkgg0yj02lvqczhzw82qy9cfglftpwj0svyvj5f05t2ypth37zae8v63

2024-10-08T00:28:51Z

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/rustand-recants-nuremberg-comments-1.7345163 - Karen Larsen lies right off the bat in this #bcelection2024 piece. John Rustad did not recant, a carefully composed and copy edited post on social media purporting to be written by John Rustad said the opposite of what Rustad said in an honest and unscripted moment during a video call.

Don’t print lies in the newspaper, Karen. It helps the fascists win, and they won’t bother to remember your favor.

Eby just needs to ask him about Nuremberg and watch him lose his ...

2024-10-07T00:42:36Z

In reply to nevent1q…g3z7
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Eby just needs to ask him about Nuremberg and watch him lose his cool: https://pressprogress.ca/bc-conservative-leader-john-rustad-suggests-province-would-participate-in-nuremberg-style-covid-19-trials/

oh of course it’s Angus Reid doing fucking residential school ...

2024-10-06T16:46:44Z

In reply to nevent1q…svs3
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oh of course it’s Angus Reid doing fucking residential school denialism. That’s just the cherry on top of the shit sundae.

“but he deleted it and asked that everyone forget he posted ...

2024-10-06T15:34:21Z

In reply to nevent1q…56ac
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“but he deleted it and asked that everyone forget he posted it”

Sure, but that’s worse, right? You get why that’s WORSE right? Like one of our main national pollsters’ media diets being so saturated with lies and conspiracy theories that he can’t tell that a fake story about *the Prime Minister* is fake should be a big story. He should not be allowed to memory hole it.

If you could access the procedure immediately is doing a ...

2024-10-04T19:34:32Z

In reply to nevent1q…l7ps
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*If you could access the procedure immediately* is doing a fuckton of lifting there. Ask any American and they will tell you that paying through the nose for a procedure is no guarantee that you'll get it "immediately".

Canadians need to work out what we’re going to do about our ...

2024-10-04T11:20:11Z

In reply to nevent1q…f8vs
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Canadians need to work out what we’re going to do about our media being saturated with “polls” that are nothing more than carefully massaged sciencism propaganda from lobbyists & image management PR companies.

Hey @npub1spc…3gwu we’ve got a Linda McQuaig piece that IDs ...

2024-10-04T11:17:19Z

Hey Alison Creekside (npub1spc…3gwu) we’ve got a Linda McQuaig piece that IDs polling conflict of interest up front: https://rabble.ca/columnists/ford-aims-to-undermine-public-healthcare-by-targeting-nurses/ (originally from the Star)

“the poll, conducted by the public relations firm Navigator — which is, among other things, a registered lobbyist for the private health-care company Medcan — seems largely aimed at steering respondents away from solutions that would involve strengthening the public system.”

his principal supporter demographic is shitty auto dealers and ...

2024-10-04T00:51:34Z

In reply to nevent1q…xrsw
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his principal supporter demographic is shitty auto dealers and other scum tier small business owners not surprised

people want to believe very badly that we can understand and ...

2024-10-01T19:51:39Z

In reply to nevent1q…m4wc
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people want to believe very badly that we can understand and measure and know real things about the world.

it’s absolutely true; it’s also why they pitched a fit when ...

2024-10-01T01:01:21Z

In reply to nevent1q…g793
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it’s absolutely true; it’s also why they pitched a fit when Trudeau went on Colbert. It’s a shame he hasn’t continued doing non-news appearances like that.

I thought their own polling still showed Poilievre was loathed by ...

2024-09-30T17:13:04Z

In reply to nevent1q…2n9c
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I thought their own polling still showed Poilievre was loathed by women, with underwater approval numbers at all age ranges?

Haha that doesn't matter, consent machine go brrrrrrr.

David Coletto is no more a pollster than Rasmussen is.

David Coletto's lies are especially repulsive; he's ...

2024-09-30T14:33:58Z

In reply to nevent1q…m62e
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David Coletto's lies are especially repulsive; he's praised Doug Ford for "apologizing and taking responsibility" and said Trudeau should "do the same".

Yet Doug Ford cries crocodile tears, does a cabinet shuffle, and keeps pushing forward with unpopular projects, while he expects Trudeau to step aside and hand the gov't to Poilievre. Seems a bit different...

Hmm. Could it be that David Coletto of Abacus Data is not acting in good faith?

it’s almost like all our conservative parties are the same ...

2024-09-29T20:24:26Z

In reply to nevent1q…r5j3
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it’s almost like all our conservative parties are the same three grifters in a trenchcoat.

I'm quickly becoming Gould-pilled. She's been lighting it ...

2024-09-25T17:32:05Z

In reply to nevent1q…lgfv
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I'm quickly becoming Gould-pilled. She's been lighting it up on civil rights issues lately.

They are absolutely livid because they and their billionaire buds ...

2024-09-25T15:55:54Z

In reply to nevent1q…mr8a
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They are absolutely livid because they and their billionaire buds have spent so much time and money getting political media under their thumb and driving out real reporters... And now Harris and Trudeau are just bailing on the whole scene and going out to voters through other avenues.

Justin Trudeau, go on Hot Ones.

well his supporters know that’s fake; they know full well he ...

2024-09-24T01:47:00Z

In reply to nevent1q…3y50
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well his supporters know that’s fake; they know full well he opposes measles vaccines, and flu, and whooping cough, just as much as he opposes COVID vaccination.

He’s betting the news media will play dumb and go along with his blatant lie and that’s good odds.

well she's definitely implying something. 🤐

2024-09-20T18:06:39Z

In reply to nevent1q…5rs9
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well she's definitely *implying* something. 🤐

of course there isn't. This whole affair has been marred ...

2024-09-20T17:59:51Z

In reply to nevent1q…fske
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*of course there isn't*. This whole affair has been marred start to finish by a bunch of journalists pretending they don't know how intelligence processes work b/c it lets them fearmonger about China and smear the gov't.

oh sure, the CTF, but I mean also the people working for it and ...

2024-09-20T15:12:39Z

In reply to nevent1q…0gjd
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oh sure, the CTF, but I mean also the people working for it and funding it. Like, they're gonna be the biggest goon squad of "but it's legal!" tax evaders you've ever seen.

its also ironic because I wouldn't be surprised to learn that ...

2024-09-20T14:39:25Z

In reply to nevent1q…xxr6
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its also ironic because I wouldn't be surprised to learn that they've engaged in flagrant but technically legal tax evasion and have never actually *paid taxes* per se.

Some more accomplishments of the Trudeau gov’t: - COVID ...

2024-09-19T23:16:59Z

In reply to nevent1q…2uy9
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Some more accomplishments of the Trudeau gov’t:

- COVID pandemic policy that held deaths to a fraction of the USA’s
- greenwashing ban
- strict labeling and recall rules for “natural” health scam products
- capital gains tax increase
- national pharmacare for diabetes drugs and contraceptives
- reversed Harper’s denial of citizenship to children of Canadians born abroad

And that’s just off the top of my head.

A few good things eh.

I saw a post here talking about the carbon price as “one of the ...

2024-09-19T23:16:58Z

I saw a post here talking about the carbon price as “one of the few good things the Trudeau gov’t has done”. So off the top of my head, here’s some accomplishments of the Trudeau gov’t.

- added gender identity protections to the human rights act 🏳️‍🌈
- heat pump and EV incentives
- Canada dental plan, enabling over 500K Canadians to get needed treatment
- $10/day daycare
- national school lunch program
- Canada Child Benefit
- conversion therapy ban 🏳️‍🌈

I think the Bloc and NDP playing ping-pong with confidence ...

2024-09-19T22:09:19Z

In reply to nevent1q…8d4r
_________________________

I think the Bloc and NDP playing ping-pong with confidence motions could be good theater even. But it would also require Singh and Blanchet to work together and, well, I think we’ve got better odds of Elon settling Mars. 🤣

My issue with Singh tearing up the agreement isn’t confidence ...

2024-09-19T22:06:00Z

In reply to nevent1q…fnlc
_________________________

My issue with Singh tearing up the agreement isn’t confidence motions; it was the timing (bad), messaging (weak), and the loss of the framework for sorting out procedural hurdles. It’s going to be much easier for the CPC to obstruct, delay, and force through bad amendments now.

See, for example, Holland begging Senators not to amend pharmacare. It’s not just b/c of delays, it’s because of the risks if it lands back in the House.

Eh, I thought the NDP might make a show of supporting it if they ...

2024-09-19T19:37:40Z

In reply to nevent1q…mlc3
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Eh, I thought the NDP might make a show of supporting it if they were confident the Bloc would vote it down.

because they’re conservative fascists who like Pierre Poilievre ...

2024-09-18T22:38:39Z

In reply to nevent1q…m2kr
_________________________

because they’re conservative fascists who like Pierre Poilievre and want to help him win.

It's shameful that the Speaker didn't break out harsher ...

2024-09-17T14:42:47Z

In reply to nevent1q…hu0w
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It's shameful that the Speaker didn't break out harsher sanctions for that language.

yeah that definitely read like him being a jerk just for the sake ...

2024-09-16T22:37:34Z

In reply to nevent1q…ur5t
_________________________

yeah that definitely read like him being a jerk just for the sake of being a jerk.

I don’t think he’s threatening Alison. But yeah no accident ...

2024-09-16T21:54:14Z

In reply to nevent1q…4kve
_________________________

I don’t think he’s threatening Alison. But yeah no accident he’s setting up for a suit in the UK.

oh we all knew they were going to be there. "only a fraction ...

2024-09-16T20:02:23Z

In reply to nevent1q…zs4s
_________________________

oh we all knew they were going to be there. "only a fraction of the SDA’s operations" indeed, but someone has the whole set for sure. Given the AfD ties it's going to be *interesting* to see how close to CPC leadership this gets.

And how much of the sudden shyness by social media companies about research was due to knowledge of this campaign and a desire to protect it? 33.9M comments - that's a lot of engagement to boost quarterly metrics.

well some polls certainly. Others still do calls using ...

2024-09-16T09:53:33Z

In reply to nevent1q…spsu
_________________________

well some polls certainly. Others still do calls using robocallers, or IVR. But response rates are abysmal and while pollsters still assert that their samples are trustworthy and random that’s not really clear.

And that’s entirely apart from the Goodhart’s law influence horse race coverage itself has on polling responses.

ah, so we have a poll of licensed nuclear submarine pilots! And ...

2024-09-16T00:05:32Z

In reply to nevent1q…xcdx
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ah, so we have a poll of licensed nuclear submarine pilots! And unskewed to boot.

Idk if you saw but there was a Scrimshaw post going around here earlier this week. His ususual level of “insight”. I can’t even remember what it was about.

I DO remember him advocating for abandoning mask advice and vaccine mandates because they “divide people” in… I think early 2022?

So uh. 🤔 Hmm. Lots of hmmmmm.

that’s purporting that conservatives will win every Halifax ...

2024-09-15T23:18:01Z

In reply to nevent1q…l9gf
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that’s purporting that conservatives will win every Halifax area seat except the peninsula itself and the western suburbs. That’s not reality. Conservatives are LOATHED here.

What sampling model is Abacus? IVR? Opt in panel?

Also which prominent libs. I’m guessing Scrimshaw and… Hmm. I didn’t actually follow that many there.

a nine minute Q&A with reporters and not a single one wrote ...

2024-09-14T10:56:45Z

In reply to nevent1q…stpk
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a nine minute Q&A with reporters and not a single one wrote down that he’d spat out a hardline antisemitic conspiracy theory? I’m sure glad the high professional standards of journalism are fully engaged. 🙄

(I know he’s used the Davos line before as a deniable version of the “Globalists” conspiracy, but “you’ll all be slaves” seems to be a new escalation)

I’m giving even odds Poilievre doesn’t get a week into an ...

2024-09-14T01:31:06Z

In reply to nevent1q…895p
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I’m giving even odds Poilievre doesn’t get a week into an election campaign before he gets caught on camera spouting quotes from the Protocols. He’s getting more bizarre by the day. We’ve gone from 15 minute cities to “own nothing”? Yikes.

Was this some speech he gave somewhere or was this a FB original?

Isn't the National Post deep in debt that they're ...

2024-09-12T15:42:14Z

In reply to nevent1q…nhqh
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Isn't the National Post deep in debt that they're struggling to service? Maybe someone should look at where *they* keep getting money from.

Finished the article; I think Horgan is a bit too harsh on the ...

2024-09-12T15:04:40Z

In reply to nevent1q…z83z
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Finished the article; I think Horgan is a bit too harsh on the prospects of Trudeau adopting a refreshed online persona. His team's copying Harris a bit too closely right now, but their fundraising emails are starting to lean towards crisp, professional, and contemptuous of showboating nonsense.

I think that's a good image for selling Canadians on the not insubstantial achievements of the Trudeau gov't, and their potential for more robust progress.

even with all that this move could’ve been worthwhile if Singh ...

2024-09-05T23:28:18Z

In reply to nevent1q…u57p
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even with all that this move could’ve been worthwhile if Singh had come out with a good reason - some policies that the Liberals refused to accept in the agreement that he now wants.

He didn’t. His announcement email was low grade fluff and posturing, and he didn’t even get the list of things passed out of the agreement right!

So yeah the whole thing comes off as clout farming. The NDP has 0% chance of winning the next election or beating the CPC & this doesn’t help.

on top of that, the supply and confidence agreement included a ...

2024-09-05T23:25:37Z

In reply to nevent1q…q785
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on top of that, the supply and confidence agreement included a framework for the two parties to coordinate countermeasures to conservative obstruction. That’s gone now; that makes it far harder to schedule late night sessions to defeat CPC amendments. So it’s more likely the Liberals will have to compromise with the CPC to get anything through at all. That’s a bad play.

so the Liberals have little real incentive to deal with the NDP. ...

2024-09-05T23:23:52Z

In reply to nevent1q…ftav
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so the Liberals have little real incentive to deal with the NDP. Especially since Singh’s just shown he’s not a trustworthy partner.

Singh and the Liberals both need the next six months for the stuff they’ve passed to start helping people. Then a campaign of “the CPC will take away all the things!” has teeth. Literally in the case of dental care. 😇

breaking it - when the other side is holding up their end of the ...

2024-09-05T23:20:29Z

In reply to nevent1q…gknz
_________________________

breaking it - when the other side is holding up their end of the deal - is a panicky and desperate move. And if anything the NDP is in a worse place than the Liberals if an election were called tomorrow. There’s some elements of their polling that are marginally better, but lol polling.

And they’re still in debt from the 2021 campaign. Their party volunteers are engaged with provincial elections in BC and Saskatchewan.

So the NDP’s negotiating posture is weak.

the Supply and Confidence agreement was entered into in 2022, ...

2024-09-05T23:17:44Z

In reply to nevent1q…zkks
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the Supply and Confidence agreement was entered into in 2022, after the worst of COVID. The terms of the deal were that the NDP would support the Liberals through the dissolution of parliament in exchange for Liberal action on a specific list of NDP priorities.

The Liberals have been holding up their end of the bargain; the last items on the list - voting reforms and long term care regulations - are currently in progress and Pharmacare is not yet passed.

actually while we’re here taking about Sam Cooper I’d love to ...

2024-09-05T20:55:40Z

In reply to nevent1q…en3a
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actually while we’re here taking about Sam Cooper I’d love to know what kind of funding he got backing his indie turn after his Global News gig

the Tenet one, right? I've been seeing it pop up, mostly from ...

2024-09-05T16:22:58Z

In reply to nevent1q…luvl
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the Tenet one, right? I've been seeing it pop up, mostly from Americans over on BSky. I've been eyeballing the names involved and thinking that ... Huh ... A lot of those are folks connected to the Rebel News / True North networks...

But yeah lol chances of investigative journalism happening: 0%.

why do people take this guy seriously. Why. 😭 We’ve had two ...

2024-09-05T15:58:13Z

In reply to nevent1q…k6am
_________________________

why do people take this guy seriously. Why. 😭 We’ve had two years of bogus foreign interference discourse because of his made up bullshit while ignoring things like actual Russian propaganda networks.

Never mind that the NDP's been aggressively backing "age ...

2024-09-04T19:33:20Z

In reply to nevent1q…2wx6
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Never mind that the NDP's been aggressively backing "age verification" bills, which are conservative censorship wet dreams. Do you like Mastercard's prudish online content policies?

Good news, now Mastercard decides who gets to know how old you are, and anyone who lets you see *anything* without checking that has committed a felony!

of course the one who actually comes out of this looking weak and ...

2024-09-04T18:33:30Z

In reply to nevent1q…kazm
_________________________

of course the one who actually comes out of this looking weak and selfish is Jagmeet Singh. He's just validated every attack ad Poilievre will run against him: untrustworthy, self-interested, flaky. And he's been talking up a CPC gov't as inevitable.

ah, the delightful agricultural self-sufficiency version of the ...

2024-09-03T19:01:27Z

In reply to nevent1q…tng6
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ah, the delightful agricultural self-sufficiency version of the "globalists" dog whistle. Chances of this being correctly identified as antisemitism - 0%.

There are good reasons to value local food production. The formulation Rustad uses does not invoke any of them.

wait. BCU. Ahead of the NDP. 🤨🤨🤨

2024-09-02T16:53:08Z

In reply to nevent1q…zru6
_________________________

wait. BCU. Ahead of the NDP. 🤨🤨🤨

I for one am shocked, shocked to discover more of these ...

2024-09-02T15:41:27Z

In reply to nevent1q…54vm
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I for one am shocked, shocked to discover more of these statistical projection guys are actually hard right chuds.

Hmm funny how the totally neutral statistical projection keeps coming up “hard right win, everyone else stay home and don’t bother”… 🤔🤔🤔