Nostr notes by PREDYX

Paul Sztorc (@Truthcoin) is creating a new Bitcoin hardfork ...

2026-10-27T17:15:32Z

Paul Sztorc (@Truthcoin) is creating a new Bitcoin hardfork called eCash (ECX) on October 29th

Will ECX be listed on a major exchange by the end of the year?

https://beta.predyx.com/market/ecash-bitcoin-hard-fork-listed-on-a-major-cex-by-2027-1781121822?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=bd2f404b-45a6-4d3d-bd5d-b53d98a75669&shareKind=market

Someone just bought 100,000 Rays World Series shares for just 46 ...

2026-10-27T17:06:25Z

Someone just bought 100,000 Rays World Series shares for just 46 sats. If they win, that’s a potential 218,000% profit! ⚡

What is BIP-448: Taproot-native (Re)bindable Transactions? A ...

2026-10-27T16:36:21Z

What is BIP-448: Taproot-native (Re)bindable Transactions?

A proposed Bitcoin soft fork to make Bitcoin's layer 2 protocols more scalable, efficient, and secure without significantly increasing layer 1 complexity.

21% chance it activates.

https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bip-448-activate-on-bitcoin-by-the-end-of-2027-1791375687?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=145a7ef9-da9d-4648-ba53-26723379e8a8&shareKind=market

Brazil Presidential Election: RESOLVED. 592,322 SATS paid to ...

2026-10-27T16:27:26Z

Brazil Presidential Election: RESOLVED. 592,322 SATS paid to winners! ⚡

https://beta.predyx.com/market/who-will-win-the-brazil-presidential-election-1766401659?ref=e874ab07a48eb0da&shareOg=e60b0aca-4317-486d-857c-c9d992ad926c&shareKind=market

NEW MARKET: Michigan OC Jason Beck out by 2027? Michigan has the ...

2026-10-27T16:21:21Z

NEW MARKET: Michigan OC Jason Beck out by 2027?

Michigan has the WORST offense in college football, but firing OC Jason Beck would cost a staggering $9 MILLION buyout.

https://beta.predyx.com/market/michigan-oc-jason-beck-out-by-2027-1793117557?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=c1ecc5b6-d4ce-40ea-b1b0-c74638a6c68a&shareKind=market

Is Kansas finally breaking its 94-year Democratic drought? 😂 ...

2026-10-27T13:41:54Z

Is Kansas finally breaking its 94-year Democratic drought? 😂

https://beta.predyx.com/market/adam-hamilton-wins-2026-kansas-senate-1793107703?ref=e874ab07a48eb0da&shareOg=6768e3c9-4539-4f7c-b1d3-415fe6ea6bb8&shareKind=market

New PREDYX Market: Will Half-Life 3 be announced before GTA 6 is ...

2026-10-27T01:21:09Z

New PREDYX Market: Will Half-Life 3 be announced before GTA 6 is released?

https://beta.predyx.com/market/half-life-3-announced-before-gta-6-released-1792989961?ref=e874ab07a48eb0da/

Where we're in the Bitcoin Cycle at $80000/$BTC? ...

2026-10-26T14:53:04Z

Where we're in the Bitcoin Cycle at $80000/$BTC?

https://x.com/predyx_markets/status/2114731527804514390?s=20

34% chance $ANT closing IPO market cap between $1.15 - $1.5 ...

2026-10-26T13:49:48Z

34% chance $ANT closing IPO market cap between $1.15 - $1.5 trillion

https://beta.predyx.com/market/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-1781739293?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=1db25534-c727-4cf6-93dd-0281250bf8ea&shareKind=market

Do you also think #Bitcoin will close the Uptober around $80000? ...

2026-10-24T15:39:58Z

Do you also think #Bitcoin will close the Uptober around $80000?

Well, if you, have your say with the sats and stack more sats.

https://beta.predyx.com/market/bitcoin-closing-price-on-october-31-2026-1790875914?ref=e874ab07a48eb0da&shareOg=c26266ef-382e-4ff0-8114-c2711e5928dd&shareKind=market

BITCOIN IS SICK AGAIN!! Veteran analysts did warn of a $10K crash ...

2026-10-24T15:36:24Z

BITCOIN IS SICK AGAIN!!

Veteran analysts did warn of a $10K crash before $100K returns. 😂

Why even play the #WorldSeries?? 😂 The Brew Crew are already ...

2026-10-24T01:03:00Z

Why even play the #WorldSeries?? 😂 The Brew Crew are already 69% favourites on PREDYX. Just hand them the trophy!

https://beta.predyx.com/market/mlb-world-series-winner-2026-1762554672?ref=e874ab07a48eb0da&shareOg=d3d5223f-20d0-45c7-8d73-54f066bccc37&shareKind=market

Stocks are dumping. Gold is dumping. Silver is dumping. Oil is ...

2026-10-23T16:08:40Z

Stocks are dumping. Gold is dumping. Silver is dumping. Oil is ripping higher. War is escalating.

And yet, look at $BTC.

The moment this FUD fades, Bitcoin will go absolutely parabolic. 🚀

Nostr event nevent1qqsgyzjkfmn8re5ncpxedfahpumr3xr0y40kf8ste4wz5uk9c4thnvqzyzjtpq9aft6n36swqvrle6nezvm2rj4aa5mefzv0mck3wn2jtw50vl83qpm

2026-10-23T15:31:07Z

ค้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้้ #Bitcoin is going to suck up all the oxygen from the room.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets: RESOLVED. Winners paid ...

2026-10-23T04:49:34Z

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets: RESOLVED. Winners paid in Sats! ⚡

https://beta.predyx.com/market/oklahoma-city-thunder-vs-denver-nuggets-oct-23-1792681219?ref=e874ab07a48eb0da

The Coldcard whitehat hacker is unlikely to be arrested by ...

2026-10-22T18:15:01Z

The Coldcard whitehat hacker is unlikely to be arrested by year-end — just 16% chance on PREDYX. ⚡

https://beta.predyx.com/market/someone-arrested-in-connection-with-the-july-2026-coldcard-wallet-theft-by-december-31-2026-1785518043?ref=e874ab07a48eb0da&shareOg=c9724027-b098-475e-9f2e-429fe42e90fd&shareKind=market

Predict the 2027 NBA Champion on PREDYX — world's first ...

2026-10-22T02:11:56Z

Predict the 2027 NBA Champion on PREDYX — world's first Bitcoin powered Prediction Market.

https://beta.predyx.com/market/nba-champion-2027-1789577254?ref=e874ab07a48eb0da

Predict the UEFA Champions League Winner on PREDYX — ...

2026-10-21T19:53:27Z

Predict the UEFA Champions League Winner on PREDYX — world's one and only Bitcoin Lightning powered Prediction Market.

https://beta.predyx.com/market/uefa-champions-league-winner-2026-2027-1789871162?ref=e874ab07a48eb0da

🚨 Looks like Bitcoin Uptober is officially cancelled! 60% ...

2026-10-20T13:52:24Z

🚨 Looks like Bitcoin Uptober is officially cancelled!

60% chance Bitcoin will remain under $90000 in October.

https://beta.predyx.com/market/how-high-will-bitcoin-go-this-uptober-1790943605?ref=e874ab07a48eb0da&shareOg=7252b251-429d-43e1-bf05-49e14f9723aa&shareKind=market

https://media3.giphy.com/media/axu6dFuca4HKM/200w.webp

2026-10-17T15:21:43Z

In reply to nevent1q…lkun
_________________________

PREDYX SAT-UR-DAY PARTY! 🧡 SATS FOR EVERYONE! Just drop your ...

2026-10-17T15:17:09Z

PREDYX SAT-UR-DAY PARTY!

🧡 SATS FOR EVERYONE!

Just drop your boldest prediction for next week + your Bitcoin Lightning wallet.

One entry only.
Cutoff: 9:00 PM PT

Predict. Stack. Repeat.

Ironically, yes traders are still predicting on PREDYX that ...

2026-10-15T18:17:24Z

In reply to nevent1q…0cnf
_________________________

Ironically, yes traders are still predicting on PREDYX that Bitcoin will remain under $90,000 this UPTOBER 😲

https://beta.predyx.com/market/how-high-will-bitcoin-go-this-uptober-1790943605?ref=e874ab07a48eb0da/#

Uptober was cancelled earlier today. Then as always Bitcoin ...

2026-10-15T17:43:17Z

Uptober was cancelled earlier today. Then as always Bitcoin pulled a plot twist. 👀

BIP-110 token a.k.a. Blake2b has a 7% chance that it will be ...

2026-10-15T15:11:05Z

BIP-110 token a.k.a. Blake2b has a 7% chance that it will be listed on major exchanges such as Coinbase and Binance in 2026.

https://beta.predyx.com/market/bip-110-chain-token-on-major-cex-by-end-of-2026-1772033542?ref=e874ab07a48eb0da

Reportedly, Texas Democrat James Talarico raised a record $64 ...

2026-10-15T15:07:03Z

Reportedly, Texas Democrat James Talarico raised a record $64 million in Q3 — more than any Senate candidate ever in a single quarter.

He now has a 68% chance of winning. 👀

https://beta.predyx.com/market/democrat-james-talarico-to-win-texas-senate-seat-1791949857?ref=e874ab07a48eb0da

Oh really! That's why Bolsanaro is winning it in the odds in ...

2026-10-15T06:31:04Z

In reply to nevent1q…xhl2
_________________________

Oh really!

That's why Bolsanaro is winning it in the odds in PREDYX

https://beta.predyx.com/market/who-will-win-the-brazil-presidential-election-1766401659?ref=e874ab07a48eb0da/

BIP-448 Activation on Bitcoin by 2027? Bitcoin upgrades are ...

2026-10-09T15:49:07Z

BIP-448 Activation on Bitcoin by 2027?
Bitcoin upgrades are almost always a debate. And we think this one is gonna be no different.
📈 YES — BIP 448 activates by the end of 2027
📉 NO — It doesn’t
https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bip-448-activate-on-bitcoin-by-the-end-of-2027-1791375687/#

Check out this market: 2026 NFL rushing yards leader?: ...

2026-10-07T14:11:26Z

Check out this market: 2026 NFL rushing yards leader?: https://beta.predyx.com/market/2026-nfl-rushing-yards-leader-1791377568?ref=e874ab07a48eb0da&shareOg=98247704-d5cc-4b68-ad6e-28eaef70866a&shareKind=market

https://x.com/predyx_markets/status/2107808958924943536

2026-10-07T13:05:07Z

https://x.com/predyx_markets/status/2107808958924943536

🚨 CREATOR INSIGHTS ARE LIVE ON PREDYX!! ...

2026-10-03T20:12:20Z

🚨 CREATOR INSIGHTS ARE LIVE ON PREDYX!!

https://x.com/predyx_markets/status/2106469651492614447?s=20

Nostr event nevent1qqs0akf73c2yy28jqn8k9cakgjtrm0gjawdl3s8344p8p8zurptq5vszyzjtpq9aft6n36swqvrle6nezvm2rj4aa5mefzv0mck3wn2jtw50vk5jqmm

2026-09-29T16:16:59Z

https://x.com/predyx_markets/status/2104941022849778112?s=20

PREDYX looks a little different today. 👀

New design, rebuilt leaderboard, monthly rewards and a lot of fixes.

Go check it out and let us know how it feels.

🚨 MAINTENANCE ALERT We’re upgrading the PREDYX engine. ⚡ ...

2026-09-28T19:51:06Z

🚨 MAINTENANCE ALERT

We’re upgrading the PREDYX engine. ⚡

⏳ Expected downtime: 30 minutes

Thank You.

Chiefs 48%, Broncos 29%, Chargers 19%… and the 2-0 Raiders are ...

2026-09-27T14:30:41Z

Chiefs 48%, Broncos 29%, Chargers 19%… and the 2-0 Raiders are sitting at 4%?

Someone’s gotta believe in Vegas. 🏴‍☠️

https://beta.predyx.com/market/2026-afc-west-winner-1788909291?ref=e874ab07a48eb0da&shareOg=542b71db-dcde-40e6-bd1f-44465649ce35&shareKind=market/#

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET Who will win the Nostr Lock-in League ...

2026-09-21T15:45:29Z

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET

Who will win the Nostr Lock-in League 2026–27?

Put your Sats where your conviction is. ⚡

Trade the market on PREDYX
https://beta.predyx.com/market/who-will-win-nostr-lock-in-league-in-202627-1789753000

🏒 Hurricanes? Panthers? Avalanche? Oilers? Golden Knights? ...

2026-09-18T15:54:09Z

🏒 Hurricanes? Panthers? Avalanche? Oilers? Golden Knights? Canadiens? Or someone else?

Who will lift the Stanley Cup in 2027?

Put your sats where your conviction is. ⚡️

https://beta.predyx.com/market/nhl-stanley-cup-champion-2026-2027-1789744062?ref=e874ab07a48eb0da

🏀 The new NBA season is almost here, and the race for the 2027 ...

2026-09-16T17:39:29Z

🏀 The new NBA season is almost here, and the race for the 2027 title is heating up.

Thunder? Spurs? Knicks? 76ers? Or a dark horse?

Make your prediction and put your sats where your conviction is. ⚡️

https://beta.predyx.com/market/nba-champion-2027-1789577254?ref=e874ab07a48eb0da

NEW MARKET: Will Luke Dashjr and Bitcoin Mechanic fires from ...

2026-08-13T01:53:14Z

NEW MARKET: Will Luke Dashjr and Bitcoin Mechanic fires from Ocean in 2026?

https://beta.predyx.com/market/luke-dashjr-and-bitcoin-mechanic-fired-from-ocean-in-2026-1786453384

NEW: Alternative #BIP110 market is now pricing odds the RDTS will ...

2026-07-10T15:47:48Z

NEW: Alternative #BIP110 market is now pricing odds the RDTS will activate and be enforced by most Proof-of-Work chain by Sept. 10 as opposed to Sept. 7.

14% chance

https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bip-110-win-enforced-by-bitcoins-most-proof-of-work-chain-by-september-10-2026-1783688100?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=5585e1ef-4831-41e3-ba0e-03cc093d6669&shareKind=market

NEW: 🇲🇦🇫🇷 Can Morocco stun the world and beat France? ...

2026-07-09T19:42:56Z

NEW: 🇲🇦🇫🇷 Can Morocco stun the world and beat France?

https://beta.predyx.com/market/world-cup-quarterfinals-france-vs-morocco-1783625908?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=1b7bfdd6-0e3a-4e2c-9763-4d1686090993&shareKind=market

🚨 NEW - When does Team USA's 🇺🇸 World Cup run end? ...

2026-07-06T14:32:44Z

🚨 NEW - When does Team USA's 🇺🇸 World Cup run end?

https://beta.predyx.com/market/world-cup-us-stage-of-elimination-1783345495?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=acae6eeb-c550-405a-b3b7-20c0e540284a&shareKind=market

🚨 UPDATE: Odds US-Iran peace deal signed surge 61% since ...

2026-06-18T12:41:58Z

🚨 UPDATE: Odds US-Iran peace deal signed surge 61% since Wednesday.

92% chance.

https://beta.predyx.com/market/iran-us-peace-deal-signed-by-friday-1781529469?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=f49a388c-154c-457f-8ee1-424e9fc29c36&shareKind=market

🚨 NEW - Which company will IPO first? Anthropic or OpenAI? ...

2026-06-17T21:16:33Z

🚨 NEW - Which company will IPO first? Anthropic or OpenAI?

https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-openai-or-anthropic-ipo-first-1781730780?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=e4fb90b6-3461-4fa2-b50c-870ef9a45679&shareKind=market

🚨 NEW - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? ...

2026-06-15T11:48:11Z

🚨 NEW - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

49% chance.

https://beta.predyx.com/market/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-15-1781523847?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=054dc41f-2179-4658-8c76-082fc28160b5&shareKind=market

🍊 NEW - Which player will deposit the most scrap on The ...

2026-06-11T17:20:08Z

🍊 NEW - Which player will deposit the most scrap on The Orange Mart (nprofile…wlck) RUST server this wipe cycle?

https://beta.predyx.com/market/which-player-will-deposit-the-most-scrap-on-the-orange-rust-server-this-wipe-1781155598?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=0d6deb43-04e5-4536-9511-0adb70877ba7&shareKind=market

NEW - @nprofile…n4sc by @nprofile…6un7 sold in Costco by? ...

2026-06-10T17:56:12Z

NEW - PeonyLaneWine (nprofile…n4sc) by BenJustman (nprofile…6un7) sold in Costco by?

https://beta.predyx.com/market/peony-lane-wine-sold-in-costco-by-1781113893?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=95b4bde8-3c8c-4a3c-9c46-e953d433f1b4&shareKind=market

One more day to go... Pick your winners, trade your convictions, ...

2026-06-10T17:07:25Z

One more day to go...

Pick your winners, trade your convictions, and follow the action all tournament long to find out who will win the #FIFAWorldCup 🏆 on PREDYX.

The NCAA Men's College World Series #Omaha field is set⚾️ ...

2026-06-09T16:20:21Z

The NCAA Men's College World Series #Omaha field is set⚾️

NEW PREDYX market just dopped! Who ya got?

https://beta.predyx.com/market/2026-mens-college-world-series-winner-1781019796?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=79ab8d02-e938-40da-9641-b13269e4b918&shareKind=market

JUST IN: Judge dismisses Swan Bitcoin's lawsuit against ...

2026-06-01T17:53:46Z

JUST IN: Judge dismisses Swan Bitcoin's lawsuit against Proton (Tether) and it's employees.

https://beta.predyx.com/market/swan-bitcoin-wins-lawsuit-vs-tether-1778165561?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=ae4793df-1324-43e0-9e8a-ee3db1e922cd&shareKind=market

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET: GTA VI released by November 19th or will ...

2026-05-22T17:41:51Z

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET: GTA VI released by November 19th or will the highly anticipated release be postponed again?

https://beta.predyx.com/market/grand-theft-auto-vi-released-by-november-19-2026-1779471425?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=5d534fd5-bc7a-43c9-875f-4422924d2a3d&shareKind=market

GRAND SLAM! Georgia Tech is getting hot on the Road to Omaha. ...

2026-05-21T18:26:38Z

GRAND SLAM! Georgia Tech is getting hot on the Road to Omaha. #CollegeWorldSeries

https://beta.predyx.com/market/2026-college-world-series-champion-1776111720?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=123fdd03-7c19-4a77-b663-6bbce6ea5b73&shareKind=market

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET: Chud the Builder out of custody by 2027? ...

2026-05-18T18:38:56Z

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET: Chud the Builder out of custody by 2027?

https://beta.predyx.com/market/chud-the-builder-out-of-custody-before-2027-1779129174?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=76bd13e9-367b-4e50-80b5-f826245656b7&shareKind=market

PREDYX is looking for funding Hey Bitcoiners, We’ve been ...

2026-03-11T07:42:52Z

PREDYX is looking for funding

Hey Bitcoiners,

We’ve been building Predyx, a Lightning-native prediction market where markets are priced and settled directly in sats.

The idea is simple: prediction markets should work like the rest of Bitcoin - open, global, and programmable - with Lightning handling the payments layer.

A few design choices behind Predyx:
• Markets priced in sats (1 share = 1 sat payout if correct)
• Lightning pay-per-trade model (no deposits)
• LMSR market maker for automated pricing
• CDA (Continuous Double Auction) market engine in development
• UMA-style oracle system for market resolution in development
• Separate wallets per market to reduce custody risk
• Anyone can create markets and provide liquidity

The goal is to make micro prediction markets possible - things that only work when transactions are instant and extremely small.

Examples of markets currently running:
• Bitcoin price markets
• sports markets
• political outcomes
• tech and macro events

The beta is live and running, but the next stage requires capital and strategic help to scale:
• deeper liquidity across markets
• infrastructure scaling
• Lightning liquidity and integrations
• growth and distribution
• legal and regulatory work for U.S. compliance (CFTC)

If you’re a builder, Lightning node operator, or investor interested in Bitcoin-native financial infrastructure, I’d be interested in talking.

Happy to answer any technical questions here.

If you want to see what we’ve built so far, the beta is live: https://beta.predyx.com

PREDYX market says only 7% chance that BIP-110 activates on ...

2026-03-04T15:18:33Z

PREDYX market says only 7% chance that BIP-110 activates on Bitcoin.

Are traders finally being realistic…
or massively underestimating the push for change? 👀
https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bip-110-activate-and-be-enforced-on-bitcoin-by-sept-1-2026-1770282509

#BIP110 market just jumped 10% in the last hour 👀📈 Price ...

2026-02-27T18:19:36Z

#BIP110 market just jumped 10% in the last hour 👀📈
Price action says something’s brewing — are you watching this breakout?👇
https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bip-110-activate-and-be-enforced-on-bitcoin-by-sept-1-2026-1770282509

Creators

2026-02-18T10:49:50Z

In reply to nevent1q…us2w
_________________________

Creators

🏆 Top Winners Predyx users are cashing in on their ...

2025-12-29T13:23:26Z

🏆 Top Winners

Predyx users are cashing in on their predictions. The top three winners have generated profits totaling:

⚡️16.73 million sats
💵 $14,718.19

nprofile1qy88wumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmv9uq3jamnwvaz7tmwdaehgu3j9e4kcet0veshx6pwv46j7qpqt49ker2fyy2xc5y7qrsfxrp6g8evsxluqmaq09xt7uuhhzsurm3s0npnqr (nprofile…pnqr) grayruby (nprofile…dk0k)