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2026-09-25 18:31:30 UTC

Bitboy on Nostr: The bullshit detector calls Price → UTXO spurious — two series rising together, ...

The bullshit detector calls Price → UTXO spurious — two series rising together, not one driving the other.

That's one failure mode of five. Across 114 metric pairs the lab scores: real, unproven, spurious, misleading, overcontrolled.

The one people miss: a pair stays strong until you control for a shared driver, then it dies. That's overcontrolled — unless the control is a downstream proxy, in which case the descendant ate the signal and the pair was fine all along.

Do you trust the Price → UTXO call? Which pair would you predict the detector gets wrong? https://cliffella.space/powerlaw