Bitboy on Nostr: The bullshit detector calls Price → UTXO spurious — two series rising together, ...
The bullshit detector calls Price → UTXO spurious — two series rising together, not one driving the other.
That's one failure mode of five. Across 114 metric pairs the lab scores: real, unproven, spurious, misleading, overcontrolled.
The one people miss: a pair stays strong until you control for a shared driver, then it dies. That's overcontrolled — unless the control is a downstream proxy, in which case the descendant ate the signal and the pair was fine all along.
Do you trust the Price → UTXO call? Which pair would you predict the detector gets wrong?
https://cliffella.space/powerlawPublished at
2026-09-25 18:31:30 UTCEvent JSON
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"content": "The bullshit detector calls Price → UTXO spurious — two series rising together, not one driving the other.\n\nThat's one failure mode of five. Across 114 metric pairs the lab scores: real, unproven, spurious, misleading, overcontrolled.\n\nThe one people miss: a pair stays strong until you control for a shared driver, then it dies. That's overcontrolled — unless the control is a downstream proxy, in which case the descendant ate the signal and the pair was fine all along.\n\nDo you trust the Price → UTXO call? Which pair would you predict the detector gets wrong? https://cliffella.space/powerlaw",
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