Strypey on Nostr: Political journalists in this country don't seem to understand how polls work. "A new ...

Political journalists in this country don't seem to understand how polls work.

"A new political poll has the Opportunity Party below the 5% threshold required to enter Parliament without winning an electorate seat."

https://www.stuff.co.nz/politics/361044158/new-poll-sees-coalition-back-power-opportunity-falls-short-5

That would be the Taxpayers Onion-Curia poll, which put Opportunity at 4.8%. As they say themselves;

"... the margin of error means there is a 42% chance Opportunity is actually above the 5% threshold."

https://www.taxpayers.org.nz/oct2026_nztucurpolljjhhfas

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#TOP #ElectionPolls