I'll point out -- because news media are PHENOMENALLY bad at mentioning this -- that recessions can only be declared retroactively BY DEFINITION. Meaning that when one is officially declared, you've already been in it for at least six months.
I'd bet we're already in one right now.
https://www.newsweek.com/recession-probability-surges-93-ubs-2125230
Sean Kleefeld
npub1ut…rvh7f
2025-09-09 02:26:32 UTC
Author Public Key
npub1utxmr46cxj4qayqhlg2p7chhjw9ud48zkynlepvc4k476cenggqq4rvh7fSeen on
wss://relay.momostr.pinkPublished at
2025-09-09 02:26:32 UTCEvent JSON
{
"id": "4d4b004102ae4e162594cc79bcc892ef971d5bb6cea4c58e17801a4b3f90c817",
"pubkey": "e2cdb1d75834aa0e9017fa141f62f7938bc6d4e2b127fc8598adabed63334200",
"created_at": 1757384792,
"kind": 1,
"tags": [
[
"proxy",
"https://mastodon.social/@SKleefeld/115171969731111783",
"web"
],
[
"proxy",
"https://mastodon.social/users/SKleefeld/statuses/115171969731111783",
"activitypub"
],
[
"L",
"pink.momostr"
],
[
"l",
"pink.momostr.activitypub:https://mastodon.social/users/SKleefeld/statuses/115171969731111783",
"pink.momostr"
],
[
"-"
]
],
"content": "I'll point out -- because news media are PHENOMENALLY bad at mentioning this -- that recessions can only be declared retroactively BY DEFINITION. Meaning that when one is officially declared, you've already been in it for at least six months.\n\nI'd bet we're already in one right now.\n\nhttps://www.newsweek.com/recession-probability-surges-93-ubs-2125230",
"sig": "e3a1fadd46d7dcb6db81c8eb6664fb39316fb3f56f64f65bc5cb249bad66ae373f550456f46383d8b598274ba03400bc1bdeae4cdf6ede6bd465cd2bbcd9b9b4"
}