Augie Ray on Nostr: I am unfollowing COVID-aware accounts on which I've relied for years. I can't tell if ...
I am unfollowing COVID-aware accounts on which I've relied for years. I can't tell if they are purposely inflating risks or don't understand the data.
One just compared the NWSS wastewater viral activity level (WVAL) metric year to year to argue this surge was among the worst. But the NWSS shifts its baseline to compare COVID to levels the past 24 months. The baseline is 33% to 45% lower than it's been in years, which makes this surge LOOK high compared to those in 2024/25 when it's not. 1/2
Published at
2026-08-26 15:00:27 UTCEvent JSON
{
"id": "eb5b7bc58d17e2fc3c431ac359f5ee7683b4e45782eacbf3cbd47b0deb09dee7",
"pubkey": "d7ff1bfc93538b40758dcf98acbced51a8174863832288c1a4f1f452699641ef",
"created_at": 1787756427,
"kind": 1,
"tags": [
[
"imeta",
"url https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/117/162/374/765/223/560/original/66fbff20607b8d67.png",
"m image/png",
"dim 1568x715",
"blurhash U6SY{qNGx]-;?vRjfQae0KM{%Mxun4bH%Moz"
],
[
"proxy",
"https://mastodon.social/users/augieray/statuses/117162405239153419",
"activitypub"
],
[
"client",
"Mostr",
"31990:6be38f8c63df7dbf84db7ec4a6e6fbbd8d19dca3b980efad18585c46f04b26f9:mostr",
"wss://relay.ditto.pub"
]
],
"content": "I am unfollowing COVID-aware accounts on which I've relied for years. I can't tell if they are purposely inflating risks or don't understand the data.\n\nOne just compared the NWSS wastewater viral activity level (WVAL) metric year to year to argue this surge was among the worst. But the NWSS shifts its baseline to compare COVID to levels the past 24 months. The baseline is 33% to 45% lower than it's been in years, which makes this surge LOOK high compared to those in 2024/25 when it's not. 1/2\n\nhttps://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/117/162/374/765/223/560/original/66fbff20607b8d67.png",
"sig": "6866caad0c11a2779e645d87ecb3ab24aaa1be0d32e32e3fae7aef132a54c0951c13d6e775a0af676ba5dd70563bb89df71c1f53dc27c7864b3e2108b82641ec"
}