In 2015, Scott Adams made a “crazy” prediction that most people thought was impossible.
He said Trump had a 98% chance of becoming president, and he made that call on a single observation.
The winning attribute that made Scott confident in Trump’s victory was his one-of-a-kind persuasion skills.
While political betting markets dismissed Trump’s chances, Adams argued—using his background in persuasion and hypnosis—that Trump was the most psychologically effective candidate in the race and therefore favored to win. He built a massive following by showing how persuasion, not policy, drives political outcomes.
That insight proved correct. But it also revealed something darker. 🧵
The Vigilant Fox 🦊
npub18q…7y6gs
2026-05-25 13:08:49 UTC
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wss://relay.momostr.pinkPublished at
2026-05-25 13:08:49 UTCEvent JSON
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"content": "In 2015, Scott Adams made a “crazy” prediction that most people thought was impossible.\n\nHe said Trump had a 98% chance of becoming president, and he made that call on a single observation.\n\nThe winning attribute that made Scott confident in Trump’s victory was his one-of-a-kind persuasion skills.\n\nWhile political betting markets dismissed Trump’s chances, Adams argued—using his background in persuasion and hypnosis—that Trump was the most psychologically effective candidate in the race and therefore favored to win. He built a massive following by showing how persuasion, not policy, drives political outcomes.\n\nThat insight proved correct. But it also revealed something darker. 🧵\nhttps://video.twimg.com/amplify_video/2058895804157349888/vid/avc1/1280x720/2ZGgfjUcvtJU6tjl.mp4\n",
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