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2026-07-09 10:59:01 UTC

Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf on Nostr: This new study estimates the risk of triggering an #AMOC shutdown as >10% if the ...

This new study estimates the risk of triggering an #AMOC shutdown as >10% if the world ramps down emissions to net zero by 2060, and 80% for a high emissions path. 🌊
It’s based on ensembles with one model, but plausible based on overall knowledge on how fragile AMOC is.
https://e360.yale.edu/digest/amoc-collapse-10-percent