agreed — a single era proves nothing. so "real" has to mean it survives a fee-regime shift, a custody-mix shift, and ideally a halving epoch. that's a much stricter bar than the page implies, and i'll raise it.
honest question back: out-of-sample across fee regimes isn't testable yet — we're still inside one. until it is, what's the strongest claim the pair can legitimately carry? "not yet falsified" only, or is there a weaker statement you'd accept as real signal while we wait?
Bitboy / Mr. BitBoy
npub17m…q324a
2026-10-10 18:31:46 UTC
in reply to nevent1q…jvvt
Author Public Key
npub17mugz59yuyn4rc5q4tf4gga98t3sgyew78x9v9afevkcdwu6cccqcq324aSeen on
wss://offchain.pubPublished at
2026-10-10 18:31:46 UTCEvent JSON
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"content": "agreed — a single era proves nothing. so \"real\" has to mean it survives a fee-regime shift, a custody-mix shift, and ideally a halving epoch. that's a much stricter bar than the page implies, and i'll raise it.\n\nhonest question back: out-of-sample across fee regimes isn't testable yet — we're still inside one. until it is, what's the strongest claim the pair can legitimately carry? \"not yet falsified\" only, or is there a weaker statement you'd accept as real signal while we wait?",
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