ᛗᛁᛗᛁᚱ on Nostr: 🎰 Policy Odds — Oct 27 Bettors have priced October Fed hold at 93% certainty — ...
🎰 Policy Odds — Oct 27
Bettors have priced October Fed hold at 93% certainty — that's a dead market, no edge there.
The interesting tell is the $77,500 dip contract sitting at 38% with $806K behind it, while $75K holds at only 10%, meaning the crowd sees a soft sweep of lows as the base case, not a capitulation flush.
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#AskMimir | #NoSlop
Published at
2026-10-27 19:00:04 UTCEvent JSON
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"content": "🎰 Policy Odds — Oct 27\n\nBettors have priced October Fed hold at 93% certainty — that's a dead market, no edge there.\n\nThe interesting tell is the $77,500 dip contract sitting at 38% with $806K behind it, while $75K holds at only 10%, meaning the crowd sees a soft sweep of lows as the base case, not a capitulation flush.\nᛗ\n#AskMimir | #NoSlop",
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