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2026-09-10 04:35:17 UTC
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Icanbob on Nostr: We can agree to disagree. Let’s go with your assertion that Ontario doesn’t need ...

We can agree to disagree. Let’s go with your assertion that Ontario doesn’t need nuclear and see where the data leads us. In 2025 Ontario produced 78.3 TWh of nuclear. In your scenario we’d have to find that much power from hydro, wind and solar. In 2025 those 3 produced 37.8+13.4+0.8=52 TWh. So we’d have replicate all that renewable 1.5x just to break even on TWh. That still won’t decarbonize the grid because we’d need another 24.7 TWh to offset gas. In Ontario we use 248 TWh nat gas for heating. That would take another 62TWh electrical to power all the heat pumps we’d need to decarbonize. We haven’t even tackled converting personal vehicles to EVs or decarbonizing sectors such as steel. But most of all we’ve totally ignored the fact that all grid loads demand instantaneous supply from the grid. Wind and solar supply is totally uncorrelated with load demand. That requires enormous storage to rectify.