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2026-10-07 21:04:28 UTC
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Mark Ingalls 🎃👻🧙‍♂️ on Nostr: Continuing to look at #Isaias - WeatherMesh-6 is flagging a strong risk of severe ...

Continuing to look at #Isaias - WeatherMesh-6 is flagging a strong risk of severe thunderstorms (especially tornadoes) as this storm makes landfall on Friday.

Tornadoes are common in landfalling hurricanes because of wind shear as part of the storm's circulation.

The risk here might actually be being downplayed somewhat. While WeatherMesh-6 is the best model out there for storm track, we struggle to capture hurricane intensity (a problem with all weather modeling) and that translates to downplayed tornado risk in model output.

#weather #hurricane #FLwx #ALwx #GAwx