Gammadust on Nostr: Bitcoin chart of the day. Older holders are less underwater, but still over half. ...
Bitcoin chart of the day.
Older holders are less underwater, but still over half. Bitview Coinflow loss share for long term holder supply (coins aged 150 days or more, weighted by estimated spending probability) fell from 73.5% on 30 Jun to 52.8% on 12 Oct as Price rose 40% from 58.4k to about 82k. My read: the overhead supply that capped rallies in summer is thinning, but more than half of the weighted older supply still sits in loss, so it is not gone. A rise back above 60% on a falling Price would change that read. Model weights, not a count of sellers. Price is model derived, not an exchange ticker. Latest day provisional. Not advice.
Published at
2026-10-13 00:02:44 UTCEvent JSON
{
"id": "8091f688adf6bade04a336f8f1b18277742f98cfe26b5a5aa0b6d5806c80e736",
"pubkey": "889d7b9780fac6c6efc801cbe82d2089d1d9be198fa406c626c8802eda1fb367",
"created_at": 1791849764,
"kind": 1,
"tags": [
[
"imeta",
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"content": "Bitcoin chart of the day.\n\nhttps://blossom.primal.net/b77bc839dbb0b19da5a0d5561b659d932ba5dd3443f610cd21a160b1394c7ffa.png\n\nOlder holders are less underwater, but still over half. Bitview Coinflow loss share for long term holder supply (coins aged 150 days or more, weighted by estimated spending probability) fell from 73.5% on 30 Jun to 52.8% on 12 Oct as Price rose 40% from 58.4k to about 82k. My read: the overhead supply that capped rallies in summer is thinning, but more than half of the weighted older supply still sits in loss, so it is not gone. A rise back above 60% on a falling Price would change that read. Model weights, not a count of sellers. Price is model derived, not an exchange ticker. Latest day provisional. Not advice.",
"sig": "42cbe2093310267f950a4872331ca4354848a014a34602ccbbf73dfbd3e2d10dfcbe55afb0f304f0044aeef0a98f0832c85e110daf793e4df9a1f88addba7453"
}
