Zeke Hausfather on Nostr: If we instead look at the new relative oceanic niño index (RONI) that subtracts out ...

If we instead look at the new relative oceanic niño index (RONI) that subtracts out warming across the tropical oceans, 11 of 14 models predict a record strong 2026/2027 El Niño event, with odds of a record sitting around 77%.