I used to share PMC estimates and forecasts about #COVID19, but in the two years, I've come to the conclusion Hoerger inflates estimates.
No one knows precisely how to convert wastewater levels into actual case counts. Hoerger always estimates many cases, while others like JWeiland look at the same data and estimate MUCH fewer infectious cases.
A simple experiment demonstrates, I believe, how inaccurate PMC is. 1/3
Augie Ray
npub16l…tyrn8
2026-06-13 12:34:50 UTC
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npub16ll3hlyn2w95qavde7v2e08d2x5pwjrrsv3g3sdy7869y6vkg8hsqtyrn8Seen on
wss://relay.ditto.pubPublished at
2026-06-13 12:34:50 UTCEvent JSON
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