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2026-10-28 23:13:19 UTC
in reply to

Jakob Fel :spinningdisc: on Nostr: I'd say that's only if China and the US take too long during the fab creation ...

I'd say that's only if China and the US take too long during the fab creation process. Fabs take about 2-3 years to start, and China had some new parties starting up fabs ~1.5 years ago IIRC. I definitely don't think we'll see a major decrease until probably 2029 but I do think we're likely to start seeing a slow decrease in late 2027, early 2028.