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2026-04-07 16:02:38 UTC
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stacksatsio on Nostr: Short term I see a whole lot more pain. Take your average western country; the ...

Short term I see a whole lot more pain.

Take your average western country; the economy is 30-55% the government. 15-30% of people are employed by governments of various levels.

If you pull the rug on that with a Sovereign debt bubble, a lot of people with ZERO free-market transferable skills are now competing with grafters who will do anything for a dollar. That’s Mandibles stuff.

What is the Government funded 55-yo Keynesian economist going to do? What’s the 45-yo climate change scientists living off research grants going to do? What’s the 35-yo DMV worker who never had a real job going to do?

Saif’s prediction is more bleak than mine. I’d go Venetian renaissance for a Bitcoin-led era. Both were merchant led aristocracys but Venice lasted a good 400 years and wasn’t humiliatingly crushed like the frogs were after 40 years of good living.

The Sovereign Individual is a great book but it paints a future, not a path to get there.

I’m interested in the path. The path is where we are; we won’t get to bask in the glory, we’ve got to get our kids there and make sure they can hold on for more than 2 generations!