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2026-10-31 03:39:57 UTC

Sinistra delenda est. on Nostr: Seems like our favorite African-American read _The Innovators Dilemma_ (one of the ...

Seems like our favorite African-American read _The Innovators Dilemma_ (one of the most important business books ever written, and I can vouch for its core data set on hard disk drives, having lived through the same period using them as the author).

Context for this comment: SpaceX really is closing down its Falcon line of business, including the reusable payload part (Cargo and Crew Dragon).

Besides soon needing the people who are key to making it work for Starship, _not_ needing so much obnoxious government business (and can his Deep State protectors continue that role anyway??), at least in its old terms (and nobody thought to pay to ensure SpaceX would continue):

"LuvEngineering

"SpaceX is a disruptor. They came in, announced plans to do a certain thing (reusable rockets), and the established industry said two things 'It will not work' and 'If it does work, it is a bad idea'. SpaceX persevered and became a market leader by their innovations, pricing, cadence, & reliability.

"Disruptors typically inspire imitators and SpaceX is no exception. I think 2027-2028 is the year most of the imitators will come online.

"Typically, disruptors kill the established industry and replace it until a new disruptor comes along to replace them. This is generally regarded as being a normal and healthy development cycle.

What is unique about SpaceX is that they never lost the disruptor mindset. SpaceX has announced plans to disrupt and kill their own established monopoly. There will be about two years of overlap between the imitators coming online and Falcon9 going offline for NASA. Other users will have less/no overlap.

"I think Starship will be just as disruptive as Falcon9. More importantly, SpaceX is now disrupting the launch location industry. They are building launch and manufacturing sites/factories/pads at an unbelievable rate.

"There is a lot of angst about Starship only launching Starlink and Starmind [AI datacenters _in space!_], but I think the scale of what SpaceX envisions will allow for launching much more than just that.

Falcon9 is the most prolific launcher on the planet, but most of the space industry is just using its spare capacity. Starship will be the same. Starship’s spare capacity will dwarf the rest of the industry, just as Falcon9 does now.

"Between the imitators and the Starship spare capacity, the future is bright - as long as the government doesn’t overreact and kill the goose that lays the golden eggs."

Note the article being replied to is written by a Jew who _must_ hate Musk, and he lies quite a bit in it, like about there being "no evidence" Starship is going to do anything but Pez dispenser payloads.

Although obviously that "pizza box" form factor will become a _de facto_ industry standard for anything that can fit in it.

https://arstechnica.com/space/2026/10/spacex-no-longer-needs-nasa-and-thats-a-problem-for-americas-space-agency/?comments=1&post=44717952