That's a terrifying conclusion. Other studies have concluded that we may not be able to tell we're passing an AMOC tipping point until it is too late. At the other end of the world, my reading of research I'm familiar with indicates that loss of the marine-based parts of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet is now committed, although if we're lucky this may take several centuries to play out. An emerging conclusion seems to be that some major tipping points occur at around 1.5°C above pre-industrial, as IPCC reports have been warning that they might for many years.
The new AMOC modelling paper is here
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adx4298
Rob Larter
npub1f8…jv6mr
2026-04-16 05:47:19 UTC
in reply to nevent1q…2j3u
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