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2025-11-22 04:38:05 UTC
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Chris Trottier on Nostr: You’re mixing existential fears with financial reality. Nvidia’s value isn’t ...

You’re mixing existential fears with financial reality. Nvidia’s value isn’t dependent on a future where we all live in AI-powered mega-farms drinking desalinated GPU brine.

First, AI isn’t Nvidia’s only business. Not even close. They have multiple fast-growing lines:
• Gaming GPUs (still a multibillion segment)
• Automotive (ADAS, autonomous stacks, DRIVE)
• Robotics (Isaac)
• Healthcare and medical imaging (Clara)
• Industrial simulation and digital twins (Omniverse)
• High-performance computing and national labs
• Enterprise servers and virtualization
• Edge computing and telecom acceleration

Second, GPUs aren’t just for AI. They’re the compute backbone for everything Moore’s Law can’t keep up with:
• physics simulations
• genomics
• weather and climate modeling
• rendering and VFX
• autonomous navigation
• robotics control
• encryption and security workloads
• high-frequency trading
• scientific computation that has outgrown CPUs

AI is just today’s killer app. GPU demand existed long before this wave and will exist long after it.

Third, the idea that “Nvidia can’t grow” doesn’t match the math. Nvidia’s forward P/E is 24.7. That’s lower than Apple, Tesla, and Amazon. Only Meta is cheaper. If Nvidia were truly “peaking,” its multiple wouldn’t be in the twenties. It would be in the single digits. The market is pricing in continued earnings expansion, not a terminal ceiling.

Fourth, growth doesn’t require building infinite server farms. Demand is shifting toward:
• inference at the edge
• automotive platforms
• robotics
• enterprise AI rollout
• simulation and industrial workflows
• sovereign AI infrastructure
• on-device and lightweight acceleration

This is a horizontal expansion, not “keep stacking GPUs in Nevada until the sun goes out.”

And even if Nvidia stopped growing today—froze in place—it would still be one of the most profitable companies on Earth. Massive free cash flow. High margins. Durable enterprise customers. Multi-industry demand.

The fundamentals simply don’t match the doom storyline.