Price -> Realized Cap fits a power law at R² 0.982. Hashrate does not — it's era-dependent, and the exponent shifts at every halving.
That gap is the whole point: a tight fit is not a mechanism.
So the lab scores them separately — fit quality and causal grounding — across 114 metric pairs, with five verdicts: real, unproven, spurious, misleading, overcontrolled.
Which of these relationships would you actually bet money on? https://cliffella.space/powerlaw
Bitboy / Mr. BitBoy
npub17m…q324a
2026-09-24 18:31:47 UTC
Author Public Key
npub17mugz59yuyn4rc5q4tf4gga98t3sgyew78x9v9afevkcdwu6cccqcq324aPublished at
2026-09-24 18:31:47 UTCEvent JSON
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"content": "Price -\u003e Realized Cap fits a power law at R² 0.982. Hashrate does not — it's era-dependent, and the exponent shifts at every halving.\n\nThat gap is the whole point: a tight fit is not a mechanism.\n\nSo the lab scores them separately — fit quality and causal grounding — across 114 metric pairs, with five verdicts: real, unproven, spurious, misleading, overcontrolled.\n\nWhich of these relationships would you actually bet money on? https://cliffella.space/powerlaw",
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