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2025-01-19 20:36:04 UTC
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Steve Easterbrook on Nostr: The second question is much harder, but if we take the strict IPCC definition (i.e. ...

The second question is much harder, but if we take the strict IPCC definition (i.e. natural carbon removal by trees, soils, oceans etc. is all in addition to net-zero), model studies suggest that temperatures would stay roughly where they are, because additional ("owed") warming over the decades it takes to reach a new top-of-the-atmosphere energy balance) would be almost exactly matched by a small cooling effect as natural carbon sequestration starts to remove some of the carbon from the atmosphere.

So nearly everyone got this wrong!
See longer discussion here: http://www.easterbrook.ca/steve/2013/02/how-big-is-the-climate-change-deficit/
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